交易员预测比特币的牛市正在遵循过去的减半周期模式

来源：荒原狼的焊机

Source: Wild Wolf Welders

交易员彼得·布兰特认为，比特币的牛市正在遵循过去的减半周期模式，如果这种模式持续，比特币价格到明年年底可能会达到13万美元。当地时间2日，布兰特称，目前的比特币价格正在遵循过去的减半模式。

Trader Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin's cattle market is following the pattern of the past halving cycle and that, if this pattern continues, Bitcoin's prices could reach $130,000 by the end of next year. On 2 local time, Brant says that the current bitcoin price is following the pattern of the past halving.

布兰特预测，在减半后的周期中，比特币价格可能会在2025年8月下旬至9月初期间达到13万美元至15万美元的峰值。

Brant predicts that, in the cycle after halving, Bitcoin prices may peak at $130,000 to $150,000 between late August and early September 2025.

最近的一次比特币减半发生在2024年4月20日，这一周期大约持续四年，期间挖矿奖励减少了50%。布兰特在6月2日的报告中解释说，减半日期与过去的牛市周期几乎完全对称。

The most recent halving of Bitcoin took place on 20 April 2024, a cycle that lasted approximately four years, with a 50 per cent reduction in mining incentives. Brant explained in his report of 2 June that the date of halving was almost identical to the past cattle cycle.

布兰特认为，从历史上看，比特币减半日期介于牛市的开始和高峰之间。根据布兰特的分析，上一次比特币牛市在2020年5月11日减半前约16个月开始，并在此后约18个月结束。

Brandt believes that historically, the date of the halving of Bitcoin is between the beginning and the peak of the cow. According to Brant's analysis, the last time the city of Bitcoin started about 16 months before its halving on 11 May 2020 and ended about 18 months thereafter.

布兰特指出：“前两次减半(2016年7月9日和2012年11月28日)也遵循了类似的模式。如果这个序列继续下去，下一个牛市周期的峰值将出现在2025年8月下旬或9月初。”

Brandt states: “The first two halves (9 July 2016 and 28 November 2012) follow a similar pattern. If this sequence continues, the peak of the next cattle cycle will be in late August or early September 2025.”

布兰特补充说，在预测比特币周期高点方面，“没有一种分析方法是完美的”，但过去的高点遵循了类似的增长模式，如果这种情况持续下去，牛市高点可能会在预测的13万美元至15万美元范围内。

Brandt added that in predicting the high point of the Bitcoin cycle, “no analytical method is perfect”, but that the past high point followed a similar pattern of growth, and that if this continued, the high point could be within the range of $130,000 to $150,000 projected.