目前在网上关于比特币的资料都局限于技术和应用层面，有关价格走势的分析是少之又少，其中由国人用中文写的技术分析文章几乎为零。那么就来谈谈比特币K线图的技术分析，其他都不谈，就只讲价格走势。
比特币是新生事物，因此没有现成可供参考的资料，原本我准备用股市的技术分析往上套，但很快就发现不可行。股市技术分析全都基于均线，其中最重要的就是每天的收盘价，但比特币没有收盘价，它是一天24小时运转的系统。如果硬要画个均线，你会发现基本上没有参考价值。
Bitcoin is a new thing, so there is no readily available information, and I was going to use stock market technology to analyze it upwards, but it was soon found to be unfeasible. The stock market technology analysis was all based on the mean line, the most important of which was the daily round-up, but Bitcoin did not, and it was a 24-hour-a-day system.
幸好比特币有一系列自己的技术指标，其中最重要的就是“市场深度”Market Depth，如下图所示：
Fortunately, Bitcoin has a series of its own technical indicators, the most important of which are & & & & & & & & & market depth & & Market Depth, as shown in the figure below:
图中X轴是价格，Y轴是量，bid=买单，ask=卖单。此时此刻市场价大约在7.6美元左右，你可以在图上很直观的看到这个价位上下的买单和卖单数量。在股票的软件中，你只能看到上下五档的买卖单信息，你交了更多的钱才能看到上下十档的信息，但是比特币的这个市场深度几乎让你看到了市场全景。近期比特币连续数周的升势，使得买单数量大大多于卖单，从图上可以直观的看到，买单几乎是卖单的4-5倍。
The X-axis is price, the Y-axis is volume, the bit = purchase, the ask = sale. At this point the market price is about 7.6 . You can see the purchase and sale volume at this price in a very straightforward way. In stock software, you can only see the purchase and purchase orders in the top and bottom five, and you can pay more to see the top and bottom ten, but the market depth in the bitcoin almost makes you see the market as a whole.
比特币的市场还是很小，这也使得你只需很小的资金就能让价格有大幅的波动，比如下图：
Bitcoin's market is still small, which makes it possible to make prices very volatile with only a small amount of money, as follows:
不到20万美元的资金，就可以把比特币价格从7.2拉升到7.8，涨幅为8%。这个市场类似于股市的早期，参与者不是很多，只要几个大鳄数量不多的资金就可以操纵价格。
Less than $200,000 will raise the price of Bitcoin from 7.2 to 7.8, an 8% increase. This market is similar to the early stock market, where the number of participants is not very large, and prices can be manipulated by a small number of alligators.
纵观这段时间的价格变化，可以明显看出一个规律，那就是盘整几天之后就会有大单介入，在很短的时间里拉高5%以上，然后又是数日的横盘整理。看上去价格正在稳步的拾阶而上。
Looking at price changes during this period, it is clear that, after a few days, there will be a single intervention, pulling more than 5 per cent in a very short period of time, followed by a series of days. Prices appear to be rising steadily.
近期欧元连续的负面消息使得越来越多的极客将资金投入比特币避险，而国内比特币的参与者也越来越多，相信很快就会见到8。去年夏天比特币价格在极短的时间内就从几美元拉高到30美元，这样的情况很难再现了，稳步的上涨远好于暴涨，我越来越感觉到主升浪很快就要来临了。这波升势很有可能会突破前期30美元的高点，去年比特币创出30美元高点之后很快就遭遇了黑客门，交易所关闭了半个多月，这直接打击了投资者的信心，但随着安全措施的改进，很难再有黑客攻击了。
Recent negative news Euro has made it possible for more and more dignitaries to invest in bitcoin to avoid risk, while more and more domestic Bitcoin participants are expected to see it soon. Last summer, Bitcoin prices rose from a few dollars to $30 in a very short period of time.
目前的升势同以前的升势有很大的不同，以前每次大涨之前都有主流媒体进行报道，也就是说，由主流媒体的报道吸引了众多的参与者，新的参与者带来了巨量的资金，一下把价格带上去，但这次上涨几乎是内生性的。我翻了翻国外的资料，有趣的发现很多洋人把原因归结为“中国人的介入”。
The current upturn is quite different from the previous one, where mainstream media were reported before every surge, that is to say, the coverage by mainstream media attracted a large number of participants, and the new players brought with them huge sums of money, bringing prices with them, but the rise was almost endogenous. I turned over information from abroad, and it was interesting to find that many foreigners attributed the cause to & ldquao; Chinese intervention & & rdquao.
目前比特币的最大的应用可能就是“匿名汇款”了，美国政府痛恨的维基解密网站就接受比特币捐赠，美国人几乎封锁了他所有的资金渠道，据说维基解密超过95%的捐赠资金被冻结（大约有2000万美元），唯独比特币账户完好无损。年初FBI封了著名的网络硬盘提供商MEGAUPLOAD，他们的资金被冻结，但是冻不了比特币账户。
At present, the biggest applications of Bitcoin are likely to be “ anonymous remittances & rdquo; and the US government's hateful WikiLeaks website has accepted Bitcoin donations, and Americans have blocked almost all of his financial channels. Over 95% of WikiLeaks' donated funds are said to have been frozen (about US$ 20 million) and only Bitcoin accounts are intact. The FBI blocked MEGAUPLOAD, a well-known network hard-distributor, whose funds were frozen at the beginning of the year, but cannot freeze the Bitcoin account.
比特币将是未来黑客们的首选交易媒介，越来越多的人将同样接受比特币，因为美元一直在贬值，黑帮和毒贩会不会也买点比特币存着呢？以前的电影里，毒贩交易就是拿两个密码箱，一个放毒品，一个放现金，现场交换。未来毒贩交易可能完全不同了，两帮人拿着笔记本电脑，开机上网，传输比特币，然后拿着毒品走人。
Bitcoin will be the preferred medium for future hackers, and more and more people will accept bitcoin, because the dollar has been depreciating, and whether gangsters and drug dealers will buy bitcoin for storage. In previous films, drug dealers would trade in two code boxes, one for drugs, one for cash, and the other for a live exchange. The future drug dealer trade could be completely different, with two groups of people with laptops, Internet access, transmission of bitcoin, and then take drugs and walk away.
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