你已经知道了比特币是什么，面对比特币每一次冲上热搜的暴涨，你有一点心动，但你又不知道在哪买，也不知道应该怎么做。
You already know what bitcoin is, you're a little moved by every rush of bitcoin, but you don't know where to buy it or what to do.
这篇文章写给没有投资过比特币的小白，看完本文你会知道应该怎么买，要注意的事项，风险，以及一种最简单有效的比特币投资方法。
This article is for whites who don't invest in bitcoin. After reading it, you'll know how to buy it, what to pay attention to, the risks, and the simplest and most effective way to invest bitcoin.
1.我应该去哪买比特币？
Where should I buy bitcoin?
在传统金融领域，买入股票、基金、债券等等除了在证券交易所里也可以在第三方机构里买入，但买入比特币不同，一般需要在加密货币交易所里买入。目前币圈三大交易所分别是火币、OKEx、币安，选择其中任何一个都可以。
In the traditional financial sector, the purchase of shares, funds, bonds, etc. can be bought in a third-party institution in addition to the stock exchange, but, unlike Bitcoin, generally needs to be bought in an encrypted currency exchange. currently has three main exchanges in the currency ring, one in the currency exchange, the other in the currency exchange, and the other in the currency exchange.
2.普通人怎么投资比特币
2. How do ordinary people invest in bitcoin ?
接下来给大家介绍一种投资比特币最简单的方法。
will then introduce a simple way to invest in bitcoin.
这个方法从过去历史数据看是有效的，同时它的操作非常简单，适合没有太多精力关注比特币价格，也没有专业技术去投资的普通人。本质上，它是一种长线投资，而非交易，是以耐心换取收益的投资方式。
This approach is valid from historical data, while it is very simple to operate for ordinary people who do not have much energy to focus on bitcoin prices or know-how to invest. In essence, it is a long-term investment, not a trade, in the form of a patient investment for profit.
有趣的是，这种最简单的投资方法不仅适用于圈外的普通人，在币圈内也同样深受一些比特币老玩家和硬核粉的喜爱。换句话说，有一部分被称为比特币死衷粉的所谓“信仰者”，即使他们已经在这个圈子里摸索了六七年、那么了解比特币，最后也依然选择了这种最简单的投资方式。
Interestingly, the simplest way of investing is not only for ordinary people outside the circle, but also for old bitcoin players and hard-core powder in the currency. In other words, some of the so-called “beliefs” called bitcoins, even though they have been in the circle for six or seven years and know bitcoins so well, have chosen the simplest way of investing.
这个方法就叫做“放着”，即：买入比特币之后长时间持有，直到价格变得非常之高后再卖出。
This method is called in , i.e. holding it long after buying bitcoin until the price becomes very high.
国内的圈子喜欢把采用这种投资策略的人叫做holder，或者囤币党。因为他们总是像要过冬的松鼠一样，买入比特币囤起来，并且做好了很长一段时间都不卖的打算。
Domestic circles prefer to call the people who use this investment strategy the Holder, or the Money Bankers. They always buy bitcoins and hoard them for a long time, like squirrels who want to spend the winter.
为了弄清楚所谓的“放着”投资效果究竟怎么样，我们做了一些计算模拟了这个策略的历史效果。我们使用了 一家老牌交易所的数据API，爬下了从2013年4月1号到2020年1月26号这期间的比特币历史价格数据（每个价格均为小时线的收盘价），以这些数据作为基础，模拟了持有4年然后立即卖出的收益情况。
In order to find out what the so-called “letting” investment effect is, we did some calculations that simulated the historical effect of this strategy. Using data from an old exchange, API, we climbed historical bitcoin price data from April 1, 2013 to January 26, 2020, each price being collected on an hourly line, using these data as a basis to simulate the four-year gains that were then sold immediately.
也就是说，我们想要探讨的问题是，在2013年4月1号到2016年1月26号这期间内，任意一个小时买入比特币，4年后马上卖出，这种放着的策略是不是都能挣钱？(因为本文成文时间为2020年，所以2016年初之后买入的数据还没法检验）
In other words, the question that we would like to explore is whether 4年后卖出 four years later ......................... 上面是任意一个小时内买入、然后4年后（35064个小时后）卖出的盈利情况，数据按照盈利率从高到低的顺序排序。这里的盈利率=（卖出价-买入价)/买入价 * 100%。可以看到： The figures are in order of profit = (sale price - purchase price) / purchase price * 100%. As can be seen: 历史最高收益：5583.53%，2015年6月27日凌晨3点以241.54美元价格买入，4年后以13728美元价格卖出。 The highest historical gain: 558.53 per cent, purchased at $241.54 at 3 a.m. on 27 June 2015 and sold at $137.28 four years later. 历史最低收益：366%，2013年4月10日晚上8点以262.1美元价格买入，4年后以1222.8美元价格卖出。 Historical minimum: 366 per cent, purchased at 8 p.m. on 10 April 2013 at $262.1 and sold four years later at $122.8. 如果不放4年呢？看看其他时间长度的表现： What if it doesn't last four years? Look at the performance of the other periods: 2年（17531小时）-最高：4244.85%，最低：-68.38%（亏钱） 2 years (17531 hours) - maximum: 4244.85 per cent; minimum: 68.38 per cent (deficit) 3.5年（26297小时）- 最高：7558.6%，最低：-36.99%（亏钱） 3.5 years (26297 hours) - High: 7558.6 per cent and lowest: 36.99 per cent (deficit) 5年（43829小时）- 最高：14405.63%，最低：241.84% 5 years (43829 hours) - High: 14405.63% and lowest: 241.84% 6年（52594小时）- 最高：18035.48%，最低：533.59% 6 years (52594 hours) - highest: 18035.48 per cent and lowest: 533.59 per cent 结论：放着小于4年有可能出现亏损，而持有4年后再卖出，则都是赚钱的。 Conclusion: 任意时间买入并持有4年再卖掉都是挣钱的，哪怕最低收益也有366%。这是个很不错的表现。而很有意思的是，4年刚好也是比特币的一个完整周期。 3. 买比特币应该注意什么？ 3. What should I care about buying bitcoin? 1.注意冻卡。由于国家对于加密货币还是有些限制的，前几个月冻卡事件频出，所以在购买比特币等加密货币的时候的银行卡要注意最好选一张你不常用的银行卡，专卡专用是最好，如果用了你经常使用的银行卡，万一被冻结可是会影响生活的。 . , given the country's limitations on encrypted currency and the frequency of frozen card events in the previous months, is concerned that when purchasing encrypted currency, such as bitcoin, it is best to choose a bank card that you do not normally use, and that the exclusive use of a bank card that you often use, if frozen, will affect life. 2.使用冷钱包存币。相同的是，无论是传统金融里的证券交易所和第三方投资机构，还是加密货币行业的交易所（虽然今年也有了去中心化交易所），都是中心化机构，你的资产最高管理权都是在在机构手上。不同的是，传统金融依托于国家监管，加密货币依托于区块链技术，不可篡改所以如果需要去中心化且不联网的冷钱包才可以保证资产的最高控制权在你自己手上。 The same thing is true of the stock exchange and third-party investment agency in traditional finance, as well as the exchange in the crypto-currency industry (although there is also a decentralized exchange this year), which has the highest authority over your assets. Unlike traditional finance, which is dependent on state supervision, crypto-currency is dependent on block chain technology and cannot be tampered with, so that you can guarantee the highest control over assets if you need to decentralize and unconnected cold wallets. 3.保存好私钥。刚刚提到了冷钱包，冷钱包说起来是用来存币，但其实是用来合成私钥的。你在交易所买了币，意味着你的币在交易所手里。只有你拥有了私钥，无论是交易所出事、钱包公司出事，都不会影响你的资产安全，因为你可以拿私钥去别的地方导出。 3. Save your private key. just mentioned the cold wallet, which is said to be used to store currency, but which is used to synthesize the private key. You buy money on the exchange, which means that your currency is in the hands of the exchange. Only you have the private key, whether it's on the exchange or the wallet company, will not affect your security of assets, because you can export it somewhere else. 4.投资比特币的风险 4. Risk of investing in bitcoin 相对于短线交易、量化、期货，囤币应该是投资比特币风险相对较小的一种方式。但它仍然是有风险的，比如4年后比特币的减半效应失效、周期性不成立、价格没有破新高，等等。 As opposed to short-term transactions, quantification, futures, the hoarding of currency should be a way to invest in bitcoin at a relatively low risk. , it is still risky, for example, four years later, the halving effect of bitcoin is not working, cyclically, prices are not rising, and so on. 哪怕是过去的历史数据验证了任意时刻持有4年后卖出是挣钱的，仍然会有人怀疑未来这个策略能否继续生效。换句话说，比特币的减半效应能不能继续复制下去，是囤币最大的风险。在圈子内，也只有一部分经历过前面2次成功减半的人会非常坚定的相信这一点，其他人心里是打问号的。 In other words, whether the halving effect of Bitcoins can continue to be replicated is the greatest risk to the hoarding of coins. Within the circle, only some of those who have experienced the first two successes of halving will be very convinced, and others will be asking questions. 当你选择了“放着”这种最简单的策略，你需要把资金无条件锁定4年甚至是更长的时间，在这段时间内不管你有多需要这笔钱都不能取出，决定这笔投资是否有收益的反馈周期也非常的长。对普通人来说，囤币消耗的是大量资金的流动性和机会成本。这些都会对你的心理产生非常大的影响。 When you choose the simplest strategy of “let go”, you need to set the money unconditionally for four years, or even longer, during which the feedback cycle that determines whether or not the investment is profitable is very long 这也导致了囤币这种策略，虽然看起来简单、却很难做到。 This has also led to a strategy of currency hoarding, which, although it seems simple, is difficult to do.
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