一、行情分析
根据CoinMarketCap的数据显示,在过去的8月份,加密货币整体市值下跌9.51%左右。与此同时,我们了解到,在OK、火币等平台的OTC交易区,USDT过去一个月兑法币的价格持续走高,8月最大涨幅一度达到了5%,而在ZB平台上,8月份USDT/QC交易对上涨3.52%左右,最低点为6.92QC,最高达到了7.24QC。此外,据中国外汇交易中心的交易数据显示,8月份美元兑人民币的汇率涨幅较大,大约上涨4%左右。近期USDT的场外价格与BTC价格呈现较为明显的反向变动趋势,我们可以看到,一方面,USDT价格受到了场外经济形势的影响,另一方面也表明,尽管BTC价格调整幅度较大,场外抄底资金仍然对加密货币市场抱有较强的信心。
According to CoinMarketCap, the overall market value of encrypted money fell by about 9.51% in the past August. At the same time, we learned that USDT prices in the OTC trading area of platforms such as OK, the currency, etc. continued to rise at a rate of 5% in August, while on the ZB platform, USDT/QC transactions rose by about 3.52% in August, with a low of 6.92 QC, with a peak of 7.24 QC. In addition, China’s foreign-exchange centre transactions showed that the exchange rate of the United States dollar against the renminbi increased by about 4% in August.
二、每周数据
> strong > strong
1. 上周加密货市场总市值为2486.92亿美元,与此前一周相比下跌5.74%;
1. The total market value of the encrypted goods market last week was $248.692 billion, a decrease of 5.74 per cent compared to the previous week;
2. 最近一周整个加密货币市场成交量为3521.80亿美元,与此前一周3672.88亿美元的成交量相比,下跌4.11%,与两周前3794.86亿美元的成交量相比,下跌7.2%;
2. The entire encrypt currency market volume for the last week was $352.180 billion, down 4.11 per cent from $367.288 million the previous week and 7.2 per cent from $379.486 billion the previous two weeks;
3. 除去比特币的市值及交易量后,其它加密货币总市值为765.32亿美元,一周交易量为2481.82亿美元。
3. With the exception of the market value of Bitcoin and the volume of transactions, the total market value of other encrypted currencies was $76,532 million, compared to $24,88,182 million a week.
三、交易市场
III. Markets
过去一周,加密货币总市值及周交易量仍然维持环比下降的趋势。数据显示,比特币市值占到加密货币总市值的69.23%,与前一周68.49%的权重相比,略有上升。近期比特币总交易量占到了加密货币一周交易量的29.53%,与前一周30.19%的总交易量占比相比,持续下降。比特币交易量占比持续下降,但是总市值占比提升,表明山寨币在持续放量超跌。
Over the past week, the total market value of encrypted currencies and weekly transactions have remained on a downward trend. The data show that the market value of Bitcoins represents 69.23% of the total market value of encrypted currencies, a slight increase compared with the weight of 68.49% of the previous week. Recently, Bitcoins accounted for 29.53% of the total volume of encoded currency transactions in one week, a continuous decline compared to 30.19% of total transactions in the previous week.
数据来源:CoinMarketCap
Source: CoinMarketCap
可以看到,近一周主流币交易量及价格均环比下跌,其中价格跌幅较大的主流币为XMR和BNB,跌幅分别达到了13.3%和14.89%,交易量跌幅较大的主流币为XMR、ETC及LEO,跌幅分别达到了21.63%、19.65%和23.84%,其中LEO交易量已经连续两周大幅下滑。
As can be seen, in the past week, the mainstream currency volume and price averages have fallen, with prices falling by more than 13.3 per cent and BNB by 14.89 per cent, respectively, and trade volume by more than XMR, ETC and LEO by 21.63 per cent, 19.65 per cent and 23.84 per cent, respectively, with LEO transactions having declined significantly for two consecutive weeks.
主流币种交易所价格及交易量
Main Currency Exchange Prices and Transactions
四、挖矿情况
> > .
如下图所示,在过去的8月份,BTC全网算力整体在70E/s至80E/s的区间内活动,但是在9月1日,BTC算力再次达到历史新高86.33E/s,这是近期比特币算力首次触及85E/s以上。根据BTC.com的统计数据,BTC全网难度也在9月1日经历了一次变更,难度值提升5.78%。目前,比特币矿机每T日产量在0.00002298个BTC左右。LTC算力在近一周仍旧保持下跌趋势,由于部分矿机仍然回本难,因此算力有进一步触底的可能性。此外,ETH、DASH、BCH及BSV算力短期内随币价的涨跌而正常波动。
As can be seen from the figure below, in the past August, the BTC's total network capacity was active between 70E/s and 80E/s, but, on 1 September, the BTC's computing power again reached an all-time high of 86.33E/s, which is the first time that bitcoin power has touched more than 85E/s in the recent past. According to BTC.com, the BTC's total network has also experienced a change on 1 September, with a difficulty of 5.78%. At present, Bitcoin machines produce around 0.000,2298 BTCs per day.
近3月BTC全网算力
Near March BTC's full Web capacity
近3月ETH全网算力
Near March ETH All-Web Calculus
近3月LTC全网算力
Almost March LTC's all-network computing power
近3月DASH全网算力
Near March DASH All-Web Calculus
近3月BCH与BSV的全网算力
In March, BCH and BSV's Internet-wide computing power
数据来源:Bitinfocharts
Source: Bitinfocharts
以3毛的电费及主流矿机的成本参数计算,目前几大主流币的预计回本天数如下:
, based on a 30-cent electric charge and a cost parameter for a mainstream miner, currently the expected return days in major mainstream currencies are as follows:
数据来源:Hubox测算
Source: Hubox Measurement
五、稳定币情况
我们选择近一周稳定币的交易情况观察,可以看到,最近一周稳定币总成交额为1244.51亿美元,与前一周的1291.04亿美元相比,下跌3.60%。USDT近一周每日平均成交额169.81亿美元,占稳定币交易额的95.51%左右,该比例与之前一周95.76%的数值相比,基本持平。交易量排在第二第三的稳定币为TUSD和PAX,近一周每日平均成交额分别在4.27亿美元和3.17亿美元,与前一周相比,TUSD成交量上涨25.77%,PAX成交量下跌10.03%。
An observation of the transactions that we have chosen to stabilize the currency in the last week shows that the total volume of the stable currency in the last week was $12,44.51 million, a decline of 3.60 per cent compared with the previous week's $12,9104 billion. The average daily value of the USDT was $16,981 million, or 95.51 per cent of the steady currency, which is almost equal to the value of 95.76 per cent in the previous week. The second and third steady currency was TUSD and PAX, with an average of $427 million and $317 million, respectively, for the last week, representing an increase of 25.77 per cent in TUSD and a decrease of 10.03 per cent in PAX transactions compared to the previous week.
数据来源:Coinmarketcap
Data source: Coinmarkketcap
六、市场总结
, , , , , , > >.
近期市场热点较少,尽管各类交易平台及加密货币项目不断推出新产品及新模式,但仍然难挡整个市场人气的下滑。如果用户仅持有稳定币,收益即可跑赢大盘。对于想要择时进场的用户来说,可在BTC反弹时,入手USDT,并在BTC下跌时,以USDT购入BTC,实现波段操作,以避免追涨杀跌的举措。
There have been fewer market hot spots in the recent past, and although new products and models have been introduced in various trading platforms and crypto-currency projects, it is still difficult to block the downside of the market as a whole. If users hold only a stable currency, they can win.
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