2021年上半年，对于加密货币市场来说是热闹的半年，比特币、以太坊两大头部币种屡创新高，包括狗狗币在内的小众币种也多次暴涨出圈。但狂欢过后，监管持续加码，加密货币挖矿在国内宣告“凉凉”，币价也持续跳水。7月4日，多位币圈人士向北京商报记者展示了上半年“成绩单”，新手小白投入近10万元加50倍杠杆，两个月后已所剩无几，还有币圈“老司机”直呼“并非长久之计”。
In the first half of 2021, for the encrypted currency market, the first six months of the year, Bitcoin and Ether were inventive, and the smaller ones, including the doggies, rose out of circles on several occasions. But after the party, regulations continued to add codes, the encrypt currency mine was declared “cool” in the country, and the currency price continued to jump. On 4 July, several currency circles showed Beijing merchant journalists the last six months of their “performance list” and fresh hands invested nearly $100,000 and 50 times more leverage, leaving little more than two months later, and the ring “old drivers” called “not a long-term measure”.
10万本金血本无归
100,000 principals are gone.
“要说2021年最后悔的事，必然是参与了炒币这件事，前后投入近10万元就这样打水漂了。”新手用户赵宇（化名）无奈地告诉北京商报记者。
“The most regrettable thing to say in 2021 must have been participation in the coin-fixing process, and nearly $100,000 was invested in it.” The newcomer, Zhao Woo, could not help but tell the Beijing Chamber of Commerce reporter.
据赵宇回忆，2021年春节期间，其开始关注比特币走势，彼时比特币仍在持续上涨。直至2021年2月的最后一个星期，比特币冲击6万美元失败，一周下跌20%，最低跌至43000美元。“这是我第一次觉得自己的机会来了，感觉比特币涨到了头，想要入场‘做空’。”
Zhao Woo recalled that during the spring of 2021, he began to focus on the movement of bitcoin, and that bitcoin continued to rise. Until the last week of February 2021, bitcoin hit $60,000 and fell by 20 per cent a week, down to $43,000. “This is the first time I feel my chance, and it feels like bitcoin has risen to the head and wants to enter the field.
谁料事与愿违。在经历了2月末的下跌之后，比特币在3月、4月间仍然走出了一波上涨行情，3月13日一度突破6万美元。赵宇投入的5万元年终奖很快就见了底，就在赵宇为亏损焦头烂额之时，受前同事的影响，又开始没日没夜地钻研币价走势。
After a fall at the end of February, Bitcoin survived a wave of upswings in March and April, with a breakthrough of $60,000 on March 13. Zhao Woo’s 50,000-year-old end-of-year award will soon come to an end, under the influence of his former colleagues, who began to work day and night on currency prices.
在研究一段时间后，赵宇冒险开通了50倍杠杆，期待能够进一步翻盘。同时，眼见着比特币币价越来越高，加了杠杆的赵宇开始转头“做多”。而比特币却急转直下，“6月初比特币一度跌至3万美元出头，一个星期内又涨回到4万美元，这时候也没忍住，觉得可能涨回去，又将最后剩下的一点资金全部投了进去，谁知道比特币又从4万美元跌到了3万美元之下，”赵宇说，“10万元几乎全部亏完了，就当买个教训吧。”
After a period of research, Zhao Woo ventured 50 times the leverage and looked forward to a further rollover. At the same time, seeing Bitcoin getting more and more, the leveraged Zhao Woo started to “do more.” And Bitcoin went straight, and “At the beginning of June, Bitcoin fell to $30,000, then went back to $40,000 within a week, and it didn't stand up, thought it might go back, and put all the last bit of money in it, and who knew that Bitcoin fell from $40,000 to $30,000, and Jo Woo said, “One hundred thousand dollars is almost all lost, so let's buy a lesson.”
赵宇已经“壮士断腕”，而同是新手用户的王阳（化名）仍在迷茫中。王阳向北京商报记者介绍称，5月19日币圈遭遇血洗，随后又暴涨拉升，“太火了，我也没忍住想试试看，累计投入了9.5万元，两个月不到亏损了一大半”。
Zhao Yu has “brained his wrists” and Wang Yang, who is also a new user, is still lost. Wang Yang informed the Beijing Business Journal reporter that the 19th May coins had been bled off and then jumped, and that “it was too hot for me to give it a chance, with a cumulative investment of 95,000 yuan and less than half of the loss for two months”.
王阳向北京商报记者展示的截图显示，5月23日至7月4日的43天内，比特币累计下跌7.08%，而王阳的收益率为-61.34%，账户剩余金额不足3.7万元。对此，王阳戏称，一顿操作猛如虎，最后亏了6万元，“现在是该离场还是再试一试，真不知道该怎么办”。
According to a screenshot presented by Wang Yang to a reporter from the Beijing Business Journal, between 23 May and 4 July, Bitcoin fell by 7.08 per cent cumulatively, while Wangyang earned a return of 61.34 per cent, leaving a balance of less than $37,000. In response, Wang Yoo reported that one operation was a tiger, with a final loss of $60,000, and that “it's time to leave or try again, I wonder what to do”.
“老司机”直呼不容易
It's not easy for the "old driver."
在与赵宇等用户的交谈中，北京商报记者注意到，对于炒币一事，不少用户均抱有侥幸心理，试图从加密货币市场中分一杯羹。更有用户向北京商报记者直言，就是在冒险做投机交易。
In conversations with users such as Zhao Woo, the Beijing Business Journal journalist noticed that many of the users were lucky about the currency spree, trying to get a piece of the encrypted money market. More than ever, the users spoke out to journalists in Beijing, risking speculation.
自大学毕业开始专职炒币的郭峰（化名）告诉北京商报记者，相较此前的波动情况，2021年上半年比特币的走势更难预判，这种情况下根本不建议不了解行情的用户入场，否则将完全沦为韭菜。
Guo Feng, who has been working exclusively since graduation from university, told the Beijing Chamber of Commerce journalists that the trend in Bitcoin in the first half of 2021 was more difficult to judge than previous fluctuations, and that users who did not know what to do were not recommended to enter, otherwise they would be completely turned into vegetables.
在郭峰看来，不少币圈拥趸疯狂鼓吹加密货币市场行情，但币圈的钱并不好赚。“24小时不间断地交易，就意味着需要不间断地盯盘，有时候夜间行情波动大，根本不敢睡觉。看不明白行情的时候也会很焦虑，毕竟没有其他收入来源。同时也会担心政策风险，心理压力很大。大家内心都明白，炒币并非长久之计，一旦监管真的强势叫停，谁也没有办法抗衡。”
In Guo Feng's view, there are a lot of currency circles that preach encoded money markets, but the money in the currency circles is not easy to earn. “A 24-hour round-the-clock transaction means that there is a need to keep an eye on the game, sometimes at night, not to sleep at all. There is also anxiety when you don't understand it, after all, and there are no other sources of income. There are also concerns about policy risks and psychological stress.
除了郭峰外，另一位币圈“老司机”刘杰（化名）当前也暂时中止了炒币操作，将全部身家压在了加密货币之上后等待涨回。
In addition to Kwok Feng, Liu Jie, the other “old driver” of the currency circle, has now temporarily suspended the practice of scaffolding and has put the entire family above the encrypted currency to wait for it to rise back.
Wind数据显示，比特币6月30日收于35060美元，以太坊收于2276.72美元。截至7月4日19时10分，比特币报35546.9美元，日内涨幅为2.5%；以太坊报2329.61美元，日内涨幅为4.59%。而此前，比特币最高触及64899美元，以太坊最高触及4384美元。
Wind data show that Bitcoin received $35060 on 30 June and $2276.72 in the Taiga. At 1910 hours on 4 July, Bitcoin reported $35,546.9, with an increase of 2.5 per cent over the day, and the Pacific newspaper $2329.61, with an increase of 4.59 per cent over the day.
金融科技专家苏筱芮认为，作为高风险资产品类，比特币等加密货币历史上曾多次发生过暴涨暴跌事件，一方面是多空之间不断争斗，另一方面则是疫情笼罩下动荡的国际经济环境，任何风吹草动都可能使市场情绪发生转变，因此时常出现“爆完空头爆多头”等情形，存在巨大的投资风险。
As a high-risk asset class, there have been numerous surges and drops in the history of encrypted currencies, such as Bitcoin, on the one hand, and the volatile international economic environment under the shadow of the epidemic, on the other, which, according to the financial science and technology expert, could lead to a shift in market moods, and therefore to a high risk of investment, on the other hand.
苏筱芮指出，加密货币缺乏稳定的价值支撑与明确的监管体系，从各类政策对比特币的“围堵”来看，炒作加密货币既不符合主流方向，也会给自有资金带来极大的风险，建议参与机构与投资者认清形势，远离当下鱼龙混杂且存在政策风险的虚拟货币市场。
Su Nai pointed out that cryptographic currency lacked a stable value support and a clear regulatory system and that, in the light of the “crowding” of the various policies of Bitcoin, it was neither in the mainstream nor in the interest of self-financing, suggesting that participating institutions and investors should recognize the situation and stay away from virtual currency markets, where there were complex and policy risks.
独立经济学家王赤坤同样强调，加密货币无真实价值支撑，相关投机交易活动存在多重风险。监管强压之下，加密货币的泡沫可能会被刺破，参与者甚至可能无法通过正规银行拿到交易获得的收入。加密货币交易已经超出普通人的专业认知，应避免参与这一风险活动。北京商报记者 岳品瑜 廖蒙
The independent economist Wang Chikun also stressed that there is no real value for encrypted money and that there are multiple risks associated with speculative activities. Under regulatory pressure, the bubble of encrypted money may be stabbed, and participants may not even be able to access the income generated from transactions through regular banks.
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