比特币的汇率是怎么算的？

要想证明一个命题是否成立，那么就假设它是成立的，再来看推导出的结果是否符合假设。假设比特币的汇率，即购买力会稳定下来。那么会发生什么情况呢？让我们来逐步推导一下。1. 比特币汇率稳定----->被当做新一代货币广泛流通

To prove the validity of a proposition, let's assume that it was established, and then whether the extrapolated results were hypothetical. Let's assume that the bitcoin exchange rate, that is, purchasing power, would stabilize. What happens? Let's take a step-by-step approach. 1. Bitcoin exchange rate stability - & gt; treated as a new generation of currency circulation.

 ----->经济总量增长，比特币总量有限

& nbsp; -> total economic growth, limited Bitcoin total

 ----->比特币升值，购买力上升----->投资和消费意愿下降

& nbsp; - > Bitcoin appreciation and purchasing power increase - > declining willingness to invest and consume

 ----->造成通缩，经济萧条，失业率激增----->经济和社会环境恶化----->逼得国际货币体系坚决放弃比特币的货币角色 ----->比特币一文不值。

& nbsp; - > causing deflation, economic depression and a surge in unemployment - > deterioration of the economic and social environment - > forcing the international monetary system to give up the currency role of Bitcoin firmly - > and Bitcoin is worthless.

2. 比特币汇率稳定----->其匿名性、便于跨国交易等特征被利用于洗钱、资产转移和非法交易----->这种需求不断增加，而比特币总量有限----->促使比特币汇率逐渐上升----->投机者看到比特币行情上涨，不断涌入进行投机炒作----->比特币汇率进一步上涨，甚至暴涨 ----->矿工、持币者高位抛售----->汇率下 ----->市场恐慌情绪进一步蔓延，加速下跌----->比特币重新进入汇率不稳定期----->汇率无法稳定，导致比特币无法履行货币职责 ----->国际货币体系、各国政府不认可比特币的货币角色 ----->比特币只能沦为投机炒作的对象。所以，综上，比特币的自身特点决定了其汇率无法稳定下来，更无法履行货币职责成为新一代货币。其实，成也萧何败也萧何！总量固定、匿名等特征是比特币的优点，但也是其最大的缺点！比特币正在走向作茧自缚、自取灭亡的道路。最后，但凡投机炒作都是一场击鼓传花的“博傻“游戏，所以，奉劝各位还没入场的看客，捂好你自己的钱包，别傻傻的给那些矿工、囤币者送钱去。好自为之吧！

2. The Bitcoin exchange rate stability - > its anonymity and ease of cross-border transactions - > the increasing demand, which is limited - > the gradual rise of the Bitcoin exchange rate - > the increasing influx of bitcoin - > the further increase in the Bitcoin exchange rate - & & & & & & & gt; the further increase in the Bitcoin rate - & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & & ; the miners, the holders of the coins - & their high sales - & high sales - & & illicit transactions - & & & & & &

这说明国内比特币的价格有溢价，是正常的。即使是国内的交易所的价格也会有不同，只是差价比较小而已。你说的在国外买比特币然后在国内卖，这个就是所谓的套利，事实上也有很多人做这个事。理想情况下，如果人民币和美元可以按现在的汇率自由买卖的话，国内外的差价很快就会被套利者抹平。然而实际上并不是这样的，中国是有外汇管制的，你想大量的按照当前的汇率兑换美元是很困难的。现在正规的国外交易所的认证都很严格，不是随便就能充值美元交易比特币的，而一些小的交易所手续费也很高，充值，交易，转账，提现等过程都有手续费，而且比特币价格波动很大，之前看的差价过一会儿可能就变了，总之普通人搞这种国内外套利风险很大，盈利空间也没有你想象中那么大。你现在看到这个价格是经过市场调节过的价格，跟官方的汇率肯定是有区别的。

If the renminbi and the United States dollar could be freely traded at the current exchange rate, then the price of the foreign exchange would be higher. Even the price of the domestic exchange would be different, but the price of the foreign exchange would be smaller. You said that the foreign exchange would buy the currency abroad and then sell it in the country, which is the so-called arbitrage. Ideally, if the renminbi and the United States dollar were freely traded at the current exchange rate, the price of the foreign and domestic arbitrage would soon be flatted by the arbitrator. But in fact, China has foreign exchange control, and it would be difficult for you to exchange the United States dollar at the current exchange rate.

这就是内外盘搬砖。实际难度比你想象的要大，利润比你想象中的低。主要成本：1、用美元购买比特币一般都需要比较高的手续费，大概0.2%。2、比特币转账的手续费（可以忽略不计）。3、国内交易所提现的手续费0.3%～0.5%。4、换汇手续费。5、电汇到境外交易所的手续费。6、为规避币价波动风险而借币所产生的利息，约0.1%（也可以用期货对冲，但需要占用一定的资金）。最大难点：如何无限制地把自己国内的人民币兑换成美元并电汇出境。之所以有差价，原因就是套利渠道被堵。如果你有无限制的换汇渠道，那么这个差价就活该被你赚。

This is more difficult than you think to move bricks. The profits are lower than you think. The main cost is: 1 US dollar-based purchases of bitcoins generally require a higher fee of approximately 0.2%. 2; Bitcoins transfer fees (negatively) 0.3-0.5%. 3; domestic transactions present fees of 0.3-0.5%. 4; wire transfer charges. 5; wire transfers to offshore exchanges. 6; interest on borrowing to avoid the risk of currency fluctuations of about 0.1% (which can also be hedged with futures, but require some money). The greatest difficulty is how to convert its own currency into United States dollars and wire transfers without restriction.