2020年第三次比特币减半发生，在这次减半事件中，比特币的市值甚至突破了1万亿美元，也创下了非常高的价格即67450美元，这给币圈带来了巨大震撼，同时也让投资者更加期待着下一次比特币减半事件的到来，基于此币圈对于比特币减半后会跌吗？基本表示否定，根据以往数据来看，跌的概率比较小，这也是投资者提前埋伏比特币的大好时机，接下来小编为大家详细说说比特币减半。
The third halving of bitcoins in 2020, when the market value of bitcoins was even over $1 trillion and a very high price of $67,450 in the case of this one-half, has caused a huge shock to the currency circle, and has led investors to look more forward to the next halving of bitcoins, which will fall when bitcoins are halved? Essentially, no, based on previous data, the probability of falling is small. This is also a good time for investors to ambush bitcoins in advance.
根据以往数据分析来看，比特币减半后跌的概率比较小，因为在过去三次减半后，比特币每次都创出新高。根据圈内分析师预测，2024年比特币减半可能最高涨到58364.45美元，平均价格39435.44美元，2025年价格可能最高达到61124.93美元。需要注意的是，这只是分析师的预测，并不代表未来一定是这个价格，投资者在投资时还是要根据当下的市场行情去分析。
According to previous data, the probability of falling after halving bitcoins is relatively small, because after the last three halves, bitcoins have each reached a new high. According to round-the-clock analysts, halving bitcoins in 2024 may rise to a maximum of $58364.45, with an average price of $39,435.44, and a price of up to $61,124.93 in 2025.
比特币减半是引发新一轮比特币牛市的关键催化剂。从前三次减半事件上看，比特币减半一直是推动比特币进入新一轮牛市的关键催化剂。比特币的价格在减半前和减半后的几个月都会上涨。事实上，由于减半，比特币的价格已经达到了历史 新高。但这一新高是在比特币减半好几个月之后才出现的。
Halve Bitcoin is a key catalyst in triggering a new round of Bitcoin cattle. The first three halves, however, have been a key catalyst in pushing Bitcoin into a new round of cattle.
从基本面看，比特币减半意味著未来可开采的比特币数量越来越少，比特币总量最终会达到2100万。这种特性使比特币和法币相比具有相对稀缺性。由于法币的发行没有上限，比特币兑换法币的价格可能会受到法币发行当局的政策周期的影响。
On the fundamentals, halving bitcoins means that the number of bitcoins that can be mined in the future will be less and less, and the total amount of bitcoins will eventually reach 21 million. This feature gives bitcoins relative scarcity to French currency.
根据预测，比特币减半时间在2024年4月份开始，比特币的减半(Halving)是比特币网络的一个重要事件，它大约每四年发生一次，导致比特币的区块奖励减半。比特币的初始区块奖励是50个比特币，但每次减半后，奖励数量减半，因此产生的新比特币数量也会减少。
According to projections, the halving of Bitcoin began in April 2024, and the halving of Bitcoin (Halving) is an important event in the Bitcoin network, which occurs approximately every four years, leading to a halving of Bitcoin’s block incentive. Bitcoin’s initial block reward is 50 bitcoins, but when it is halved, the number of new bitcoins will be reduced.
比特币的减半事件会对多个方面产生影响：
The halving of the Bitcoin event has implications in many ways:
1、供应减少：比特币的减半导致比特币的新供应减少。这意味着每天新增的比特币数量减半，这可以增加比特币的稀缺性，从而可能对价格产生上涨压力。
1. Supply reduction: The halving of bitcoin has led to a reduction in bitcoin’s new supply. This means halving the amount of bitcoins added every day, which can increase the scarcity of bitcoins, and thus can put upward pressure on prices.
2、价格影响：历史上，比特币的减半通常伴随着价格上涨。这是因为供应减少可能导致投资者对比特币的需求增加，从而推高价格。然而，价格上涨并不是必然发生的，市场反应取决于多个因素。
2. Price implications: Historically, halving bitcoins has often been accompanied by price increases. This is because supply reductions can cause investors to increase their demand in bitcoins, thereby pushing prices up.
3、矿工激励：减半事件会影响比特币矿工的收入，因为他们每挖出一个区块时获得的奖励减半。这可能导致一些不经济的矿场关闭，但也可能促使矿工采取更高效的挖矿设备和方法。
3 Miner Incentives: The halved event will affect the income of bitcoin miners by halving the incentives they receive for each block they dig. This may lead to the closure of some uneconomical mines, but it may also prompt miners to adopt more efficient mining equipment and methods.
4、网络安全性：比特币的减半事件可能对网络的安全性产生影响。由于奖励减半，一些矿工可能会退出，从而减少了网络的总计算能力。然而，随着时间的推移，新的挖矿设备可能会出现，重新平衡网络的安全性。
4. Cyber security: The halving of Bitcoin may have an impact on the safety of the network. As incentives are halved, some miners may withdraw, thus reducing the overall computing capacity of the network. Over time, however, new mining equipment may emerge to rebalance the safety of the network.
5、投资者情绪：比特币的减半事件通常会引发市场的广泛关注，可能导致投资者的情绪波动。这种情绪波动可能对价格产生短期波动。
5. Investor sentiment: The halving of bitcoin usually attracts widespread market attention and can lead to investor mood fluctuations. Such mood fluctuations can have short-term fluctuations in prices.
以上全部内容就是对比特币减半后会跌吗这一问题的解答，比特币减半是比特币的一项内在机制，旨在减缓比特币供应，使其总量逐渐达到最大限制。其目的是通过逐渐减少新比特币的供应来提高比特币的稀缺性，类似于黄金等有限资源。这一设计有助于抑制通货膨胀，并使比特币的总供应量在未来逐渐趋于极限值，最终达到2100万BTC，这一特性是比特币的核心经济学原则之一。小编提醒，虽然比特币减半跌的可能性比较小，但也不要盲目跟风投资。
The aim is to increase the scarcity of bitcoins, similar to limited resources such as gold, by gradually reducing the supply of new bitcoins. This design helps to contain inflation and to bring the total supply of bitcoins to its limit in the future, eventually reaching 21 million BTC, one of the central economic principles of bitcoins.
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