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为人不识比特币，便称投资也枉然。
If you do not know bitcoin, you will have no right to invest in it.
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2017年初，一枚比特币的价格大约为6000元人民币左右。而如今，这一数字即将突破30000。短短半年，房价的起伏在它面前也黯然失色。
At the beginning of 2017, the price of a bitcoin was around $6,000. Today, the figure is about 30,000. In just six months, the price of the house is still flat.
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“比特币一枚只要900的时候我就买了。”比特币玩家老王笑言，“你先别急，我在涨到4000的时候就卖了，没拿住……谁能想到它能涨到今天这样！”
"I bought a bitcoin at 900." The old king of Bitcoin laughs, "Don't worry, I sold it when I went up to 4,000 and didn't hold it."
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的确，从今年5月份开始，比特币开始疯狂上涨，在经历了短暂的“硬分叉”风波后，跌去不少的比特币报复性上涨，一骑绝尘而去……
Indeed, starting in May of this year, Bitcoin began to rise wildly and, after a short “hard fork” wave, fell off a number of bitcoin retaliatory rises and went off on a dust-free ride...
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【为什么？】
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比特币为什么会涨成这样？
Why did Bitcoin go up like this?
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究其原因，国内大型比特币交易平台火币网COO朱嘉伟表示，近日比特币扩容达成阶段性成果、韩国澳大利亚等国的政策利好、高盛等权威机构对比特币的持续看好、美国对ICO监管趋严等因素共同造就了比特币价格连创历史新高。
The reason for this is that the national large bitcoin trading platform, COO Zhuqawi, has stated that recent milestones in the expansion of bitcoin, good policy performance in countries such as South Korea and Australia, the continued good look at bitcoin by authorities such as Goldman Sachs, and the tightening of United States regulation of the ICO have combined to create a historically high bitcoin price.
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一方面，比特币隔离见证扩容方案已经锁定，并即将激活。你不用理解这个技术是什么，只需要知道它能让比特币变得更好。此前，比特币一直在吞吐量和扩展能力上受到诟病。火币区块链研究中心表示，一旦隔离见证被激活，比特币单个区块能容纳的交易数量增多，比特币网络转账拥堵问题也将得到一定缓解。同时，隔离见证可以修复交易可锻性，进而可以让比特币区块链能够添加更多的新技术，如闪电网络。闪电网络建立在比特币网络侧链上，是比特币的支付网络，相当于比特币网络的高速公路，能够提高比特币转账速度，降低比特币转账成本。
On the one hand, the Bitcoin separation witness maturation program has been locked and is about to be activated. You do not need to understand what this technology is, just to know that it can make bitcoin better.
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所以对于隔离见证的激活，投资者的热情如此之大也就不难理解了。5月份，只是传出了比特币区块链即将部署隔离见证的消息，便带动了比特币大涨。5月16-25日，10个交易日连涨9天；5月28-6月6日，又是10个交易日连涨9天。进入8月份，隔离见证被成功锁定，预期兑现，再次刺激比特币价格的大涨。
So the enthusiasm of investors is so great about the activation of the isolation witness. In May, only the news of the imminent deployment of the isolation witness in the Bitcoin block chain led to a sharp rise in bitcoins.
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另一方面，ICO在世界范围内的火爆，也助长了市场对比特币的需求。在不断涌现的ICO项目中，比特币是主要的支付手段。成千上万的投资者为了参与ICO项目，不得不先买入比特币，这无疑也推动了比特币的市场发展。
In the context of the emerging ICO project, Bitcoin is the main means of payment. Thousands of investors have had to buy bitco in order to participate in the ICO project, which has undoubtedly contributed to the market development of bitco.
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此外，比特币在世界范围内逐渐受到重视，可能也是这轮大涨的原因之一。韩国正式推出了概述比特币等数字资产监管框架的法案。而在日本，竟然已经可以使用比特币支付了。目前，包括家电连锁商场Big Camera、ANNEX 百货等在内的多家日本公司，都已经开始支持使用比特币付款。支付方式也简单得令人惊讶，顾客只需要打开自己的比特币钱包，扫一扫二维码就完成了购买。
At present, many Japanese companies, including Big Camera, ANNEX department stores, have begun to support the use of bitcoins. Payment is also surprising, as customers simply have to open their bitcoins and clean up two-dimensional codes to complete their purchases.
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【还买吗？】
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根据国家互联网金融安全技术专家委员会对全球七百余种虚拟货币市值涨幅的统计结果表明，2017年1月1日-6月30日，39%的虚拟货币市值增长10-50倍，9.9%的虚拟货币市值增长50-100倍，另有7%的虚拟货币市值增长超过100倍。
According to the data of the National Technical Expert Committee on Internet Financial Security on the increase in the global market value of more than 700 virtual currencies, between 1 January and 30 June 2017, the market value of 39 per cent of virtual currencies grew 10-50 times, that of 9.9 per cent 50-100 times and that of another 7 per cent more than 100 times.
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其中领涨的，毫无疑问是比特币。只是，到了今天的价格，你还敢买吗？
There's no doubt it's bitcoin. It's just, at today's price, do you buy it?
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“买！当然要买！圈里有句话，‘比特币未来的目标是百万元或一套别墅的价值，随时都可以买，只要拿得住就可以。’”新入圈的蔡鸣显得有些狂热。
“Buy! Buy! There's a saying in the circle: ‘The future of Bitcoin is worth millions of dollars or a house, and it can be bought whenever it can.’” The new circle's chimes seem a little ravishing.
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“泡沫？有多少人知道这玩意儿？中国大妈们还没开始参与呢……”供职于国内某大型比特币交易平台的小朱认为，“目前比特币还是一个相对小的圈子，人们对它的认识还不够，还不能全面的了解这项技术，但不得不承认比特币以及区块链技术给我们带来更多的想象。随着国外监管层对比特币的具体监管措施逐渐出炉，比特币的发展空间会更大，我是坚定看涨的。”?
“Foot? How many people know about this? The Chinese mothers have not started to participate...” Chu, who works for a large bitcoin trading platform in the country, argues, “Now Bitcoin is a relatively small circle, and people are not fully aware of it, but have to admit that bitcoin and block chain technology give us more imagination.
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金融机构对于比特币的看法也一变再变。随着比特币价格节节高升，高盛近日将比特币短期预期价格由3915美元上调至4827美元，但其也不忘提醒，在触顶后市场将会进入修正时期，可能会下调至少38.2%，达到2221美元左右。
The financial institutions’ perception of bitcoin has changed. With the price of bitcoin rising, Goldman Sachs has recently raised short-term expectations for bitcoin from $3915 to $4827, but it has not been forgotten that the market may decline by at least 38.2%, to around $2221, during the period when the market will enter the correction.
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“现在的价格，普通投资者要注意控制风险。投资比特币事实上投资的是比特币未来作为一种全球化资产、支付手段能够在更大范围内成功这种预期。客观上来讲，可以拿总资产的少量配置比特币的长线投资。至于比特币的短线投资，它和股市、期货等证券市场类似，需要投资者拥有专业的投资能力才能有机会跑赢大盘。”朱嘉伟表示，比特币的长线投资是一种高风险投资。从长期来看，比特币投资面临政策不确定性、技术风险、竞争风险等风险。从短线来看，比特币价格影响受技术面、消息面以及影响短期供需的基本面因素更多，价格波动大，具有较强的不确定性和难预测性。
In the case of short-term investments in bitcoin, which are similar to stock markets, futures, and securities markets such as futures, investors need to have a professional investment capacity in order to have a chance to win the big game.” According to Jojitwe, long-term investment in bitcoin is a high-risk investment. In the long run, Bitcoin investments face risks of policy uncertainty, technological risk, competitive risk, etc.
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