狂飙70%,4万亿比特币又嗨了!分析师豪言:已进入早期牛市

资讯 2024-07-02 阅读:52 评论:0
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受全球计算机板块行情影响,比特币价格突破3万美元,市值超5800亿美元(约合人民币4万亿元),今年来已上涨70%。

The price of Bitcoin exceeded $30,000 and its market value exceeded $580 billion (approximately RMB 4 trillion), which has risen by 70 per cent this year as a result of global computer block dynamics.

券商中国记者注意到,比特币目前距离特斯拉的市值已不足一个点的涨幅,在本次突破行情的前一日,前博时基金总经理肖风在一次活动中表示,比特币二层协议使得比特币的应用可能进一步扩张,会改变比特币的定义,是比特币价值巨大的发掘机会。此外,更有分析师豪言称比特币已进入早期牛市。

Chinese reporters of coupons note that bitcoin is currently less than a single point of appreciation from Tesla’s market value. On the day before this breakthrough, former Boeing’s General Manager, Shao Feng, stated in an event that Bitcoin’s second-tier agreement could further expand Bitcoin’s application, change the definition of bitcoin and represent a great opportunity for discovery of Bitcoin’s value.

比特币市值逼近特斯拉

经过第一季度反弹行情的比特币,在盘整数周后突破了3万美元的平台,今年以来的价格涨幅已超70%。

After a first quarter of rebounding in bitcoin, the platform was broken by $30,000 a week later, and prices have increased by more than 70 per cent since the current year.

作为全球资产的一部分,比特币的价格走势早已与全球主要股票市场相关,自去年底以来,全球计算机板块股票资产,迎来了一波强劲的升势。

As part of global assets, the price movement of Bitcoin has long been associated with major global stock markets, and since the end of last year, global computer-plate equity assets have experienced a wave of strong upwards.

在美股市场,2023年第一季度的大型科技股推动美国股市强劲上涨,多家知名科技公司股价出现了近年来最大的季度涨幅;在中国A股市场和港股市场,计算机股票的走势更加强劲,全球两大市场计算机行情的表现,刺激着比特币资产的升高。

In the United States stock market, the strong rise in the United States stock market in the first quarter of 2023 was driven by large science and technology units, with a number of well-known technology companies showing the largest quarterly increases in recent years; in China's A stock market and the Hong Kong stock market, the trend in computer stocks was stronger, and the performance of computer performance in the two major global markets stimulated an increase in Bitcoin's assets.

券商中国记者注意到,在2018年计算机与互联网资产表现最差的年份,不仅计算机互联网主题基金经理闻之色变,而且比特币迎来了惊人的暴跌,许多持有比特币的机构投资者在2018年损失超过80%。

Chinese reporters of coupons noted that in 2018, the year in which computers and Internet assets performed the worst, not only did computer Internet thematic fund managers hear about changes, but Bitcoin also experienced an alarming drop, with many institutional investors holding bitcoin losing more than 80 per cent in 2018.

在全球消费和新能源等制造业股票表现较为抢眼的年份,比特币资产作为全球计算机板块的一部分,也同样表现不堪。

In the years in which manufacturing stocks, such as global consumption and new energy sources, performed better, Bitcoin assets also performed worse as part of the global computer plate.

值得一提的是,比特币只要再涨1%即可超越特斯拉公司的市值,后者目前为5847亿。比特币的上涨作为对全球计算机行情的呼应,它的强劲走势也带动着全球第二大数字货币的价格,以太坊在今日中午也站上了每枚1900美元的价格,当前市值突破了2300亿美元。

It's worth mentioning that Bitcoin can outpace Tesla's market value by just 1% more, which is currently 584.7 billion. As a response to global computer sentiment, the rise in Bitcoin is driving the price of the second largest digital currency in the world, and the market value is now $230 billion at $1,900 per unit today at noon.

交易所因比特币活跃获利丰厚

券商中国记者注意到,由华人控制的币安交易所,是比特币本轮行情的发动机。以4月11日的行情为例,该交易所关于比特币的成交额高达24亿美元,占全球各交易所比特币买卖金额的30%。

Chinese journalists from voucher dealers have noticed that the Chinese-controlled currency exchange is the engine of Bitcoin’s current business. For example, on April 11, the exchange’s deal on Bitcoin was as high as $2.4 billion, accounting for 30% of the amount traded in bitcoin on various global exchanges.

受比特币价格暴涨和交易活跃,代表着币安交易所的数字货币BNB也在强劲拉升,这使得币安交易所的市值也突破了500亿美元,折合人民币为3550亿。

The digital currency BNB, which represents the currency exchange, has also been strongly boosted by the surge in bitcoin prices and trading activity, bringing the market value of the exchange to a further $50 billion, equivalent to $355 billion.

比特币的反弹行情,显然极大的增强了加密货币交易所的业务,即便是市场份额较低的交易所也声称在今年第一季度获得盈利。

The rebound of Bitcoin has clearly greatly enhanced the operations of encrypted currency exchanges, even those with a lower market share claim to be profitable in the first quarter of this year.

火币交易所实际控制人孙宇晨曾发文称,火币交易所在今年一季度实现 1.5 亿美元收入,支出为 1.2 亿美元,录得 3000 万美元盈利。此外,孙宇晨预测火币二季度收入将为 1.87 亿美元,支出将为 7600 万美元,并实现 1.11 亿美元季度盈利。孙宇晨表示,火币一季度采取大量降本增效的措施,交易所业务处于整合状态。截至4月11日中午,火币交易所的币价3.65美元,市值为6亿美元。

In addition, Sun Woo forecasted that it would earn $187 million in the second quarter and that it would spend $76 million and realize $111 million in quarterly profits. Sun Woo stated that the exchange was in a consolidated position as a result of a significant reduction of efficiency gains during the first quarter of the year. At noon on 11 April, the price of the tender exchange was $365 and the market value was $600 million.

分析师的豪言

比特币在一些机构甚至传统机构投资者眼中,可能也存在价值扩张的机会。

Bitcoin may also have opportunities for value expansion in the eyes of some institutions and even traditional institutional investors.

4月10日,即比特币价格突破的前一日,博时基金前总经理、万向区块链董事长肖风发表主题演讲时谈及多个关键趋势,分别为行业合规化、比特币二层协议、香港开放的政策和代币经济学以及ChatGPT。第一是行业合规化,最近美国监管机构采取了一系列严厉的监管措施,执法力度的趋严会影响全球大部分国家或地区,这基本意味着Crypto(电子加密货币)行业合规化的开始;第二是比特币二层协议,这将驱动比特币网络和比特币的应用进一步扩张,会改变比特币的定义,是比特币价值巨大的发掘机会。

On April 10, 10, the day before the Bitcoin price breakthrough, the former general manager of the Botke Foundation and the head of the Huan to the block chain, Shaw, addressed key trends, such as industry compliance, the Bitcoin Second Level Agreement, Hong Kong’s open policy and currency economics, and ChatGPT. First, industry compliance, and the recent adoption of a series of stringent regulatory measures by US regulators, the tightening of enforcement affecting most countries or regions around the globe, basically means the beginning of compliance in the Crypto (electronic encryption currency) industry; and second, the Bitcoin Second Level Agreement, which will drive further expansion of the Bitcoin network and Bitcoin application, will change the definition of Bitcoin and represents a great opportunity for discovery of Bitcoin value.

关于比特币的反弹行情,各种夸张地预测也因此层出不穷。

知名匿名分析师PlanB 最近发表了新的Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型,称比特币($BTC)已经进入早期牛市阶段,让市场对于比特币未来的发展增添了更多的想像空间。PlanB 的主要结论是,比特币已从2023 年初开始进入新的牛市循环。他也另外补充,比特币市场阶段并非像Stock-to-Flow 是单纯预测或计算估值的模型,其主要是用于估计或检测比特币正处于市场周期的哪个阶段。

Prominent anonymous analyst PlanB recently published a new Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, stating that Bitcoin has entered the early stages of the cattle market, adding more imagination to the future development of Bitcoin. The main conclusion of PlanB is that Bitcoin has entered the new cattle cycle since early 2023. He adds that the Bitcoin market phase is not just a model for predicting or calculating valuations like Stock-to-Flow, but mainly for estimating or testing which stage of Bitcoin is in the market cycle.

而在近期的美国方舟投资管理公司一次网络直播中,Coinbase前首席技术官巴拉吉·斯里尼瓦森(Balaji Srinivasan)重申了他的大胆预测,即比特币将在未来90天内达到100万美元,他认为目前的地区银行危机将破坏美元的稳定,并迫使美联储印更多的钱。

In a recent live webcast by the American Ark Investment Management Corporation, Coinbase's former chief technical officer, Baraj & Middot; and Blaji Srinivasan, reiterated his bold prediction that Bitcoin would reach $1 million in the next 90 days, arguing that the current regional banking crisis would destabilize the dollar and force the Fed to print more money.

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