一、ETC存在的价值与挑战
尽管当前以太坊(ETH)取得了显著的成功,许多人对于以太经典(ETC)的存在意义提出疑问。然而,有人坚信,ETC扮演着推动ETH持续进化,并警惕其偏离正轨的角色。一旦ETH失误,丧失公众信任,ETC作为坚守原初理念的“正宗”以太坊,或将迎来市场的青睐。
Despite its remarkable success, many people question the relevance of the Ether Classic (ETC). However, there is a strong belief that the EtC plays a role in the continuous evolution of the Ether, and is wary of deviation from the right track. In the event of an Ether error and loss of public trust, the EtC, as the “real” or “advanced” of the original idea, will be the market’s preferred.
二、ETC的诞生与理念分歧提及ETC,必然绕不开2016年的DAO黑客事件,那次事件导致360万个以太坊被盗。面对损失,V神及多数以太坊社群成员提议回滚交易,但也有人担忧此举违反区块链的去中心化与不可篡改原则,与BTC的“代码即法律”理念背离。因此,一部分人坚持原链挖矿,最终形成两个分支:拒绝回滚交易的一支成为以太经典(ETC),而接受回滚的那支便是现今市值第二的以太坊(ETH)。
In the face of the damage, V God and most of the members of the community have offered to trade back, but there are concerns that this runs counter to the principle of centralization of the block chain and non-mutual change, and contrary to the BTC’s “code is the law” concept. Thus, some people insist on mining in the original chain and eventually form two branches: one that refuses to roll back the deal becomes the Ether Classic (ETC), while the one that accepts the roll back is the second most market value today (ETH).
三、ETC与ETH对比分析如同我先前所述,ETC一直在ETH背后潜伏,准备适时取代其地位,它坚守着最初的价值观,自上线以来,所有数据记录和智能合约未经任何理由随意篡改或回滚。
As I said earlier, ETC has been lurking behind ETH and preparing to replace it in due course, adhering to its original values, and since it came online, all data records and smart contracts have been tampered with or rolled back without any justification.
ETC交易速度平均为14秒,升级后稳定在10-14秒之间;而ETH的交易速度平均为25秒,升级后会有所改善。
The ETC transaction speed averaged 14 seconds and stabilized between 10 and 14 seconds after upgrading, while the ETH transaction speed averaged 25 seconds, which would improve after upgrading.
ETC的发展决策主要由三个松散合作的团队在社区反馈下制定,相比之下,ETH的技术发展更显中心化,由以太坊基金会主导并执行大部分开发任务。
The ETC's development decision-making was largely developed by three loosely working teams with community feedback, compared with the more central technological development of ETH, led by the ETA Foundation, and carried out most of its development tasks.
在总量方面,ETH没有明确上限,每日约增发3万个,每年新增约1100万;而ETC总量固定为2.1亿,最多不超过2.3亿,并实行每500万个区块减产20%的政策,已于2017年12月首次减产,预计今年3月将进行第二次减产。
In terms of aggregates, the ETH does not have a clear ceiling of about 30,000 per day, with an additional 11 million per year; while the total ETC is fixed at 210 million, up to a maximum of 230 million, with a 20 per cent reduction policy per 5 million blocks, it has been cut for the first time in December 2017 and is expected to be reduced for the second time in March of this year.
今年1月12日,ETC实施了Agharta硬分叉升级,该升级旨在实现ETC与ETH之间的互操作性,进一步丰富ETC的生态系统和应用场景;而ETH正筹备并逐步推进ETH 2.0升级,将从现行的POW机制转变为POS机制。
On 12 January this year, ETC implemented the Agharta hard fork upgrade, which aims to achieve interoperability between ETC and ETH and further enrich the ETC ecosystem and application landscape, while ETH is preparing and gradually moving forward with the ETH 2.0 upgrade, from the current Pow mechanism to the POS mechanism.
这些差异表明:ETC在理念上更为坚定地支持“代码即法律”;在性能上优于ETH;在总量上有硬顶,并实现通缩发行;在技术层面可实现与ETH同等的功能。
These differences show that the ETC has a stronger conceptual commitment to “code is law”; is superior to ETH in performance; has a hard top in volume and achieves deflationary distribution; and is capable of performing the same functions as ETH at the technical level.
四、未来展望与机遇面临未来,ETH计划从POW机制切换至POS机制。众所周知,ETH的用户基数及粉丝数量远超ETC,且ETH的算力约为ETC的10倍。若ETH顺利完成这一转变,原有的矿工何去何从?他们必将寻找新的出路,此时ETC是否会成为他们唯一或是最佳的选择之一呢?
Faced with the future, the ETH plan is to switch from the POW mechanism to the POS mechanism. As you know, the ETH's user base and fan base are far greater than the ETC, and the ETH is about 10 times more effective than the ETC. If the ETH succeeds in this transformation, where will the original miners go? They will find a new way out, and will the ETC be one of their only or best choices?
近期新闻显示,ETC已获得多个捐赠机构的支持,其中包括看好区块链行业的灰度投资,足以保证其至少两年以上的运营资金。此外,灰度投资的投资数据显示,ETC已成为继比特币之后,投资者第二受欢迎的加密货币项目,紧跟ETH之后。这表明灰度投资在资金支持和投资前景上均对ETC持积极态度。
Recent news shows that ETC has received support from a number of donor agencies, including the greyscale investment in the block chain industry, which is sufficient to guarantee its operating capital for at least two years. Moreover, investment data on the grey scale investment show that ETC has become the second most popular encrypted currency after Bitcoin, followed closely by ETH.
另一方面,longhash报告显示,截至1月31日,基于POW机制的代币市场份额仍高达82.92%,市值约2100亿美元,而POS和DPOS支持的代币仅占6.78%,市值约为175亿美元。即使未来POS和DPOS的市场份额逐步提升,短期内POW仍将占据主导地位。
On the other hand, the Longhash report shows that, as at 31 January, the market share of currencies based on the POW mechanism was still as high as 82.92 per cent, with a market value of about $21 billion, while POS and DOS supported only 6.78 per cent and a market value of about $17.5 billion. Even if the market share of the future POS and DOS is gradually increasing, Pow will continue to dominate in the short term.
综合以上信息并观察昨日发布的主流币算力数据图表,我们可以发现ETH与ETC间的算力差距接近10倍。一旦ETH完成机制转换,这部分算力很可能会转向ETC。这意味着,随着ETC算力的增长,甚至达到ETH级别的水平,其币价也将随之水涨船高,届时巨大的利润空间将令人垂涎。
Combining the above information and observing the chart of mainstream currency numeracy data released yesterday, we can see that the difference in arithmetic between ETH and ETC is close to 10 times. Once ETH has completed the conversion of mechanisms, this part of the calculation is likely to shift to ETC. This means that, as ETC computing increases, even at the level of ETH, its currency will rise in size, and the huge profit space will be snorting.
五、结论与风险小编建议而言,ETC具备与ETH相抗衡的各项基础,而ETH的机制转换将可能促使大批矿工流向ETC。因此,ETC未来的增值潜力颇具想象空间。
As suggested by the editor-in-chief, ETC has the basis against ETH, and the transformation of the ETH mechanism could lead to a massive flow of miners to ETC. Therefore, the future value-added potential of ETC is imaginative.
然而,ETC的道路并非坦途,面临多重风险:
ETH的忠实粉丝群体未必会转移阵地,粉丝忠诚度对币价具有强大支撑作用。
However, the ETC road is not an easy one and faces multiple risks:
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ETH's group of big fans may not necessarily move their positions, and their loyalty is strongly supportive of currency prices.
ETH依然是ICO的主要孵化地,ERC20代币的使用者数量也不容忽视。
ETH remains the primary incubator of the ICO, and the number of users of the ERC20 is not negligible.
ETH在人们心中的地位已深入人心,难以轻易动摇。
The place of ETH in people's hearts is deep and hard to shake.
V神作为ETH的灵魂人物,拥趸众多,影响力不容小觑。
As the soul of ETH, God V has a lot of influence and influence.
由此看来,这场围绕ETC能否在ETH机制转换中取而代之或分食其支持者的博弈,充满了悬念。究竟鹿死谁手,让我们静观其变。
So the game around whether the ETC can replace or feed its supporters in the transition of the ETH mechanism is full of suspense. Let's see who dies.
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