市场避险情绪凸显 比特币一度下跌4%

智通财经获悉，周二，比特币价格下跌。根据道琼斯市场数据，比特币一度下跌4%，至约66,842美元。今年至今为止，比特币上涨了59%，但仍较3月份创下的历史高点73,798美元低9%以上。

According to Dow Jones market data, Bitcoin fell by 4 per cent to about $66,842. Bitcoin rose by 59 per cent so far this year, but it is still more than 9 per cent below its record high of $73,798 in March.

与此同时，根据Farside Investors的数据，比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)周一出现6500万美元的资金流出，这是自5月9日以来的首次每日资金流出。

At the same time, according to Farside Investors, the Bitcoin Exchange Trading Fund (ETF) experienced a financial outflow of $65 million on Monday, the first daily outflow since 9 May.

QCP Capital的分析师在一份报告中表示，比特币近期的疲软主要归因于市场对宏观经济数据的反应，普遍表现出规避风险的情绪。

In a report, the QCP Capital analyst stated that the recent weakness of Bitcoin was due mainly to market responses to macroeconomic data, which generally showed a sense of risk-averseness.

投资者仍在消化上周发布的5月就业报告，该报告显示就业数据超出预期。根据CME FedWatch Tool的数据，联邦基金期货交易员减少了对今年晚些时候降息的预期，目前预计今年底前降息两次四分之一个百分点的概率为37%，一次降息的概率为38%。

Investors are still digesting the May employment report released last week, which shows that employment data are higher than expected. According to CME Fedwatch Tool, federal funds futures traders have reduced their expectations of interest reduction later this year, with a 37% probability of interest reduction twice a quarter percentage point by the end of this year and a 38% probability of interest reduction at one time.

周三即将发布的消费者价格指数数据将成为关注焦点，因为它可能会为美联储今年晚些时候的利率路径提供方向。预计美联储将在本周的会议上维持关键利率不变，但投资者将关注点阵图预测和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会。

The consumer price index data that will be released on Wednesday will be the focus of attention, as it may provide direction for the Fed’s interest-rate path later this year. The Fed is expected to maintain key interest rates at this week’s meeting, but investors will focus on mapping forecasts and press conferences by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.

Tickmill Group的分析师James Harte在周二的一份报告中写道：“如果美联储被视为重申需要长期保持较高利率，这将短期内支撑美元，并导致比特币价格下跌。”

“If the Fed is seen as reiterating the need to maintain high interest rates over the long term, this will support the United States dollar in the short term and lead to a fall in Bitcoin prices.”

强势美元一直对比特币构成压力，根据道琼斯市场数据，追踪美元对六种主要竞争对手货币的ICE美元指数(DXY)周二上涨0.3%，至约105.4。

The strong United States dollar has been a pressure on the currency, tracking the dollar's dollar index of the ICE (DXY) against the currencies of the six major competitors by 0.3 per cent on Tuesday to about 105.4 per cent, according to Dow Jones market data.