比特币出币减半真的会带来牛市吗？ 寒冬时节，比特币熊市持续已久，很多投资者认为BTC产量减半后，比特币市场将迎来新的牛市。那么真的减半就能带来牛市吗？可以...
资讯 2024-07-01 阅读:50 评论:0
寒冬时节，比特币熊市持续已久，很多投资者认为BTC产量减半后，比特币市场将迎来新的牛市。那么真的减半就能带来牛市吗？
In the cold winter, the city of Bitcoin Bear has been going on for a long time, and many investors think that by halving BTC production, the market of Bitcoin will be ushering in a new cattle market. Then will it be possible to cut it by half?
可以看看BTC历史减半和行情数据：
We can see BTC's history by half and BTC's history by half:
2009年1月3日比特币创世区块被中本聪挖出来，每一个区块以50个比特币作为奖励；
On 3 January 2009, the Bitcoin creation block was excavated by Nakamoto and each block was rewarded with 50 bitcoins;
2012年11月28日第一次产量减半，每10分钟挖出一个区块的奖励由50个比特币降低到25个；
The first production was halved on 28 November 2012 and the incentive to dig up a block every 10 minutes was reduced from 50 bitcoins to 25;
2013年，比特币的价格从年初的20美元左右一路升至260美元左右。
In 2013, the price of Bitcoin rose from around $20 at the beginning of the year to around $260.
2016年7月10日第二次产量减半，每10分钟挖出一个区块的奖励由25个比特币降低到12.5个；
The second production was halved on 10 July 2016 and the incentive to dig up a block every 10 minutes was reduced from 25 bitcoins to 12.5;
2017年，BTC一步步从1457美元涨到20000美元，达到了比特币价格的历史最高纪录，全年涨幅达到10多倍。
In 2017, BTC stepped up from US$ 1,457 to US$ 20,000, reaching a record high in bitcoin prices, with an increase of more than 10 times over the year.
按照比特币每4年减半来计算，下一次减半将会在2020年，BTC的奖励从12.5个比特币到6.25个。而这次减半之后比特币市场会否和以往一样出现超级牛市，我们现在无法找到确切答案。
By four years, the next half of Bitcoin will be halved by 2020, with BTC offerings ranging from 12.5 to 6.25 bitcoins. After that time, we cannot find a definitive answer.
但作为矿工，比特币减半带来的实在影响确实可以计算的。
But the real impact of halving bitcoin as a miner can indeed be calculated.
由于比特币总量恒定，区块奖励减半意味着挖矿产出新比特币将越来越少。而短期内矿机无法迅速实现更新换代，电费等挖矿成本没有调整，因此付出同样的成本获得的比特币将变少。所以减半前的几个月时间，可以说是矿工们一定期间内的挖矿出币黄金期。每错过一天，机会就少一天。错过这个挖矿的黄金期，未来矿工获取比特币的难度将达到了前所未有的高水平，回报率越来越低，投入更多的资金却只能挖到更少的币。
As Bitcoins remain constant, halving block incentives means that mining will be less and less. And mining machines will not be able to upgrade quickly in the short term, and the cost of mining, such as electricity, will not be adjusted, so that bitcoins will become less available at the same cost.
面对这样的局面，矿工朋友们需要迅速采用优质现货矿机进行布局，抓住减半前的币，进行挖币囤币。早一点拿到机器，就能早一点抢占先机，早一点获得收益，以芯动T3+Pro 67T来说，现货矿机的价格优势和时间成本都无可比拟，放眼市场再也找不到这样的好机会，抓住机遇赶紧入手，布局越早获利越多。
Faced with this situation, miners’ friends need to quickly use a high-quality spot machine for layout, capture the pre-treating currency, and build up currency. Having the machine early, they will be able to take advantage of it earlier, reap the proceeds earlier, and, in the case of T3+Pro 67T, the price advantage and time cost of the spot machine will be incomparable, and the market will never be able to find such a good opportunity.
矿工们选择挖矿都是基于对比特币长期价值体系的信心，“有人的虚拟货币就会有价值”，比特币总量高达2100万个，频繁的市场交易和全球庞大的持币群体，都是比特币价值体系的强力支撑。而且资产管理公司CresCat Capital数据显示，12月2日，比特币和黄金这两种资产的正相关性达到最高点，为0.3。在2019年的大部分时间里，比特币和黄金的相关性一直在上升。所以只要比特币价值还在，挖矿就一直有高利可图。
Miners choose to dig on the basis of the confidence of the Bitcoin long-term value system, with “some people’s virtual currency having value”, with a total of 21 million bitcoins, frequent market transactions, and large global currency-holding groups that are strongly supported by the Bitcoin value system. And asset-management companies, CresCat Capital, show that on December 2, the positive correlation between Bitcoins and gold reached a peak of 0.3.
尤其当前熊市出币并没有变慢、算力竞争相对较小，正是挖币屯币的黄金时期，把握时机比一味等待更重要，现在抓住时机部署，算清楚时间成本和机会成本，就能抢占收益高峰！
Especially at a time when the coins of the bear market are not slow and the arithmetic competition is relatively small, when the time is more important than the time to wait, and when the time is taken to deploy and the time and opportunity costs are clearly calculated, we can capture the gains!
注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群
打开微信扫一扫
添加客服
进入交流群
发表评论