区块链1.0时代是区块链从0到1的创造过程。包括区块链技术的诞生,以及被赋予货币职能的数字货币的诞生,解决了信任及安全两大问题,第一次使得价值在互联网中可以直接流通。
The block chain of 1.0 is the process of creating blocks from 0 to 1. These include the birth of block chain technology and the digital currency entrusted with monetary functions, which solves the twin problems of trust and security and, for the first time, allows for the direct circulation of values on the Internet.
区块链伴随比特币产生,比特币使得区块链这一技术得到了最实质的应用,10年过去了,比特币依旧是市值老大。
The block chain was accompanied by the generation of bitcoin, which enabled the most substantial application of the block chain technology, and after 10 years, bitcoin remained the dominant market value.
以太坊将智能合约引入区块链,打开了区块链在货币领域以外的应用,从而开启了区块链2.0时代。区块链2.0就是更宏观的对整个市场的去中心化,利用区块链技术来转换许多不同的资产而不仅仅是比特币,通过转让来创建不同资产单元的价值。
By introducing smart contracts into block chains, Ether opens up the use of block chains outside the monetary sphere, thus opening up the age of block chains of 2.0. Block chains of 2.0 represent a broader decentralization of the entire market, using block chain technology to convert many different assets, not just bitcoins, to create the value of different asset units through transfers.
在当前市值排名前300的区块链项目中,基于以太坊平台进行搭建的占比超过80%,其应用涵盖底层技术、金融领域、非金融领域,共计42个子行业。以太坊的地位不言而喻。
In the current block chain project, which ranks top 300 in market value, over 80% of the construction is based on the Taiwan platform, and its applications cover bottom-level technology, finance, and non-financial sectors, with a total of 42 sub-sectors.
区块链3.0,将超出金融领域,为各行各业提出去中心化解决方法,力图实现“可编程的商业经济”,即通过区块链对每一个互联网中代表价值的信息和字节进行产权确认、计量和存储,从而实现资产在区块链上可被追踪、控制和交易。
The block chain of 3.0 will go beyond the financial sphere to propose decentralised solutions for all industries, seeking to achieve a “programmable business economy”, i.e. property rights recognition, measurement and storage of information and bytes representing value in each Internet network through a block chain, thereby enabling assets to be traced, controlled and traded on the block chain.
IPFS作为区块链3.0的第一个超级应用,得到了全世界的公认。
IPFS is recognized worldwide as the first super-application of block chain 3.0.
FIL(Filecoin)的保守估值
根据Filecoin融资时代币的分配机制,总发行量20亿枚,其中70%(14亿)留给矿工,激励机制的规则是每6年区块奖励减半。第一年每天释放44万枚,一年平均释放1.584亿枚。
Under the Filecoin finance-era currency allocation mechanism, a total of 2 billion copies, 70% (1.4 billion) of which are reserved for miners, the incentive is to halve block incentives every six years. In the first year, 440,000 are released per day, with an average of 158.4 million per year.
那么像这样一个世界公认的项目,至少会进入世界数字货币市值的前10名,目前第10名是恒星币,市值是100亿人民币,明年会发行1.584亿枚,那么一枚就在63.13元左右。
So a world-renowned project like this would enter at least the top 10 of the world's digital currency market, now number 10 is a star currency with a market value of RMB 10 billion, with 158.4 million to be released next year, and one would be in the region of $63.13.
FIL(Filecoin)的畅想估值
那我们不妨把这个市场大胆估测下。
So let's take a bold look at this market.
2018年全球存储市场为4000亿美金,那么除以明年发行的1.584亿枚,就会达到2525.25美金一枚。当然IPFS不可能一上线就推翻传统互联网的HTTP,如果按照10%的市场份额来算,就是252.525美金一枚。
A global storage market of $400 billion in 2018, apart from the 158.4 million that will be released next year, will amount to $2525.25. Of course, IPFS will not be able to overturn traditional Internet HTTP as soon as it gets online, or $252.525 if it is based on 10% of the market share.
如果我们进一步思考,不是所有发行的FIL都会流通到市面上,毕竟好的币种,有识之士会囤起来,所以一般按照流通到市面上为20%(1.584×0.2亿枚),那么就是1265.8美金一枚,等于8860.6人民币。
If we think further, not all of the issued FILs will go to the market; after all, the good currency, the wise men will hoard it, so that generally 20 per cent (1.584 x 120 million units) will go to the market, then it will be $1265.8 a dollar, equivalent to 8860.6 yuan.
我们可以进一步畅想,随着5G到来,人类数据存储需求将呈指数倍增,到了2025年,全球存储市值会达到23万亿美金,到那时,HTTP已经被淘汰,23万亿全都是分布式存储的天下。而到那时,诸多的分布式存储的项目中,IPFS是最有机会独占鳌头的。
We can further imagine that, with the arrival of 5G, the demand for human data storage will multiply exponentially, and that by 2025 the global market value of storage will reach $23 trillion, by which time HTTP has been phased out, with $23 trillion in distributed storage. At that time, IPFS has the best chance of monopolizing many distributed storage projects.
如果IPFS有20亿美金市值,届时发行的9.504亿枚FIL,一枚价值就接近2万美金!
If IPFS had a market value of $2 billion, the 950.4 million FILs would be issued at that time, and the value of one would be close to $20,000!
还有一个细节,2026年FIL将迎来减半!而看BTC的历史,每一次减半随即就迎来了一波牛市,2012年减半,2013年牛市BTC价格从2美金增长到1200美金;2016年减半,2017年牛市BTC价格从650美金增长到19000美金。
In another detail, the FIL will be halved in 2026. In the history of BTC, a wave of cattle will be halved every time, in 2012, with BTC prices increasing from $2 to $1,200 in 2013; and in 2016, with BTC prices increasing from $650 to $19,000 in 2017.
所以,错过了BTC,不要再错过下一个财富风口,我们发财的机会即将到来!
So, miss the BTC, and don't miss the next wind of wealth. Our chance to make a fortune is coming!
如何布局?
How's the layout?
布局现在就要开始。官方最新公告显示,7月份左右主网上线。主网一旦上线,早期获得币是最容易的。
The layout is about to start. The official latest announcement shows that the main web line is around July. Once the main web is online, early money is the easiest to get.
很多人会说,IPFS那么好,为什么价格表现却一般?
A lot of people would say that IPFS is so good, why is the price so good?
价格表现一般,最主要的原因是主网还没上线,币圈的投机者太多而投资者太少,一些喜欢短期暴涨的投资者无法忍受等待。因为现在没有现货,还没有云服务器能挖出来,所以期货价格是40多元人民币。
Prices are generally shown, mostly because the main network is not online, the currency circle has too many speculators and too few investors, and some investors who prefer short-term surges cannot afford to wait. Because there is no spot, there are no cloud servers to dig up, and the price of the goods is 40 yuan.
ETH上线之前,也是一波三折。IPFS一旦主网上线、发币,几乎所有的中大型交易所都会免费上线,流通性变强后,价格会涨到你无法想象的新台阶。
Before the ETH comes online, it's also a three-way break. Once IPFS is on the main web line, it's on the currency, almost all the big and medium exchanges go online free of charge, and when it becomes more mobile, prices rise to new steps that you can't imagine.
FIL预估至少有1000倍的增长空间,如果你有1000的场外投资本金,就能赚100万,那你还是不能提前退休;如果你有10万的场外投资本金,那就能实现1个亿的小目标。
FIL estimates a growth space of at least 1,000 times, and if you have 1,000 off-site investment capital, you can earn 1 million, and you still can't retire early; if you have 100,000 off-site investment capital, you can achieve a small target of 100 million.
未来已来,FIL财富已来。面对千亿云存储市场,毫无疑问明星项目Filecoin值得投,2020年,分布式云存储市场的红利,我们不该错过!
The future has come, the FIL's wealth has come. In the face of the hundreds of billions of cloud storage markets, there is no doubt that the star project Filecoin is worth investing in, 2020, the dividends of the distributed cloud storage market, we should not miss!
作者:布拉拉_Shenlan1824链接:https://www.jianshu.com/p/96b6385c5b91来源:简书
Author: Blala_Shenlan1824 Link: https://www.jianshu.com/p/96b6385c5b91 Source: Simple Book
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