连续几日的高涨后，比特币出现暴跌。
After rising for several days, Bitcoin fell sharply.
2021年1月4日傍晚，比特币跌破29000美元。根据比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk价格，比特币价格最低跌至28154.11美元，较24小时内最高价格34347.90美元跌幅达18.03%。截至发稿，比特币价格约为30224美元，24小时内跌幅达10%。24小时内比特币成交额为749.3亿美元，市值为5618.5亿美元。
On the evening of 4 January 2021, Bitcoin fell by $29,000. According to the Coindesk price of Bitcoin, the price fell at a low of $28154.11 and the price at a high of $34,347.90 in 24 hours fell by 18.03 per cent. Bitcoin fell by 10 per cent in 24 hours. Bitcoin at a market value of $56,185 billion.
比特币24小时内价格走势 来源：比特币新闻资讯网Coindesk
Price trends within 24 hours of Bitcoin, source: BitcoinNews Information Network Coindisk
另据合约帝行情统计报告显示，过去1小时比特币全网总计爆仓2078万美元，24小时比特币全网爆仓10.18亿美元，爆仓人数30097人。
In addition, according to the report of the Dealers, the entire Bitcoin network has exploded for the past one hour at a total cost of $20.78 million, the 24-hour Bitcoin net house at a total cost of $1,018 million, and the number of blasters at a total of 3097 persons.
就在两天前，比特币于1月2日冲破30000美元关卡，并一举突破4000美元涨幅，最高价达到34544.94美元。
Just two days ago, Bitcoin broke the $30,000 mark on 2 January and jumped by $4,000 at a maximum price of $34544.94.
火币研究院高级分析师Daisy认为，比特币在元旦假期一路走高，顺利突破3万美元整数关口，不停创造新高，被更多传统主流媒体报道，引发了市场FOMO（唯恐错过）情绪，加速了散户入场抢筹，看涨情绪浓厚。
According to Daisy, a senior analyst at the Moyen Institute, Bitcoin has gone up the New Year’s holiday, successfully crossed the 30,000-dollar mark, creating new heights and gaining more traditional mainstream media coverage, sparking market FOMO’s (afraid of missing) sentiment, speeding up the search for bulk homes and seeing them rise.
她认为，今天比特币出现了较大幅度的回调，从消息面上看没有什么特殊的信息。从技术指标看，比特币处于绝对高位时，短期乖离率（币价与平均移动线之间的偏离程度）已高于常态范围，多方势能短时接近极限，价格会向移动平均线靠拢，从市场行为来看，比特币从2万到3万美元仅用了17天，市场积累了大量获利盘，存在短时获利了结的需求，目前已经回到3万一线。
According to her, bitcoin today has a much larger response, with little particular information from the sources. By technical indicators, when bitcoin is in absolute height, the short-term exit rate (the degree of deviation between the currency price and the average line of movement) is above the normal range, the multiplicity of forces is close to the limit, prices are closer to the average line of movement, and by market behaviour, it is only 17 days from $20,000 to $30,000, the market has accumulated a large profit plate, there is a need for short-term gains, and it is now back to the 31,000 line.
“在过去的三个月内，比特币从1万上涨到2万美元，再突破3万美元大关，目前市场的投机氛围非常浓厚，投资者的贪婪、狂热情绪助长了市场泡沫，在1月3日当天，比特币一天之内上涨了近5000美元，足以见市场的疯狂，并为当前的暴跌埋下了伏笔。” OKEx Research首席研究员William指出。
“In the last three months, Bitcoin has risen from 10,000 to 20,000 dollars and has broken the 30,000 dollar mark. The current speculative climate in the market is so strong that investors' greed and fanaticism fuel market bubbles. On 3 January, Bitcoin rose by nearly $5,000 a day, enough to see the madness of the market and lay a pen for the current crash.” William, Chief Researcher, OkEx Research, said.
他表示，首先要明确一点，比特币不是一些人口中所宣传的“避险资产”，它是一种高风险资产，直接反映即价格的高波动性，经常出现暴涨暴跌。据统计，在过去的一年里，比特币月均涨跌幅超过10%的一共有8个月。其次，比特币具有很强的金融属性，可以说投机需求是影响比特币价格的重要因素。比特币作为一种特殊的资产类别，不同于股票或债券，不会产生任何可预期的现金流，投资者获取回报的唯一方式是比特币价格的上涨，同所有风险资产一样，其价格受投资人情绪钟摆和风险态度的变化呈现出周期变化的特征，并且更容易出现过度投机现象。
He stated, first of all, that Bitcoin was not a “risk-free asset” promoted by some populations, and that it was a high-risk asset that reflected directly the high volatility of prices, with frequent surges and drops. According to statistics, in the past year, it had increased by more than 10 per cent per month for a total of eight months. Second, Bitcoin, with its strong financial attributes, could be said to have speculative demand as an important factor affecting the price of bitcoin. Bitcoin, as a special asset class, unlike equities or bonds, did not produce any predictable cash flow, and the only way for investors to earn returns was to increase the price of bitcoin, which, like all risky assets, was characterized by cyclical changes in investor sentiment and risk attitudes, and was more prone to excessive speculation.
“对于后市，比特币近日拉升速度较快，回调也在情理之中，如果能站稳2.9万美元一线，仍可期待后市上涨行情，否则下一个支撑位在2.6万美元一线。” Daisy说。
“In the case of the late city, bitcoin has been rising faster in recent days, and the retrenchment is in the process of being justified, and the latter can still be expected to rise if the $29,000 line is maintained, or the next support position is set at $26,000.” Daisy says.
编辑：张娟
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