以太坊（ETH）目前的价格在3,580美元以下进行盘整，尽管近期尝试突破未果，但投资者对于HODL（即持有不放）策略保持乐观态度。市场活跃度指标的下降趋势反映了这种看涨情绪，表明许多投资者选择持有而非出售以太坊，预期未来价格会上涨。
The current Ether's prices are below $3,580, and despite recent attempts to break through, investors remain optimistic about the HODL strategy. The downward trend in market activity indicators reflects this rising sentiment, suggesting that many investors choose to hold rather than sell it and expect future prices to rise.
以太坊活跃度 | 资料来源：Glassnod
以太坊市场现状
目前，以太坊的流通供应量中只有87%处于盈利状态，这一比例远低于市场通常认为的95%的最高门槛，暗示着以太坊仍有较大的增值空间。这一盈利百分比的数据显示，以太坊尚未达到其价格峰值，为进一步的价格上涨留下了可能性。
Currently, only 87% of the market's flow supply is profitable, well below the 95% threshold that the market usually considers, implying that there is still a significant amount of value-added space in the district. This percentage of profit data shows that it has not reached its price peak, leaving room for further price increases.
ETH持有者在价格从3,800美元下跌至3,580美元后，尽管市场呈现看跌趋势，但他们依然充满希望。活跃度指标的下降进一步证实了这一点，显示出投资者对以太坊的长期价值持有信心，并期待其价格能够实现突破。
ETH holders, after falling from US$ 3,800 to US$ 3,580, remain hopeful despite the market’s perceived downward trend. The decline in activity indicators further confirms this, demonstrating investor confidence in the long-term value of Etheria and looking forward to a breakthrough in its prices.
以太坊供应盈利情况 | 资料来源： Santiment
价格预测与技术分析
目前以太坊的交易价格为3,492美元，尽管处于盘整状态，但技术分析显示其有望突破3,582美元的阻力位。如果这一阻力位能够转变为支撑位，以太坊的价格有望反弹至3,700美元，从而收复近期的失地。此外，这一价格水平也将得到50%斐波那契回撤线的技术支撑。
at a current trade price of $3,492 at Taipan, although in a state of consolidation, technical analysis shows that it is likely to break through the resistance position of $3,582. If this resistance can be turned into a support position, it is expected to rebound to $3,700 at Taipan's price, thus recovering the recent lost ground. This price level will also be technically supported by a 50% Fibonacci withdrawal line.
以太坊价格分析 | 资料来源：TradingView
然而，如果突破尝试失败，以太坊可能会继续在当前价格区间内横盘整理。若大盘的看跌情绪加剧，导致价格跌破3,459美元的支撑位，那么看涨的预期将受到挑战。在这种情况下，以太坊的价格可能会进一步下跌至38.2%斐波那契线，即3,336美元。
, however, if a breakout attempt fails, Ether's office may continue to collide within the current price range. If the mood increases, leading to a fall in the price level of $3,459, it is expected that the increase will be challenged. In this case, the price of the typhon may fall further to 38.2% of the Fibonacci line, that is to say, $3,336.
结语
concluding remarks
以太坊投资者在当前的市场状况下展现出了坚定的持有决心，期待价格能够实现突破。尽管面临一定的市场波动和不确定性，但较低的活跃度指标和盈利供应比例表明，以太坊仍具有上涨潜力。
Etheria investors have shown firm resolve in the current market situation to expect a breakthrough in prices. Despite some market volatility and uncertainty, lower activity indicators and profit-side supply ratios suggest that the Etherm still has the potential to rise.
投资者需密切关注市场动态和技术分析指标，以把握可能的价格变动和投资机会。随着市场情绪和技术指标的不断演变，以太坊的未来走向将更加明朗。
investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and technology analysis indicators in order to capture potential price changes and investment opportunities. As market sentiment and technology indicators evolve, the future direction of Taiku will become clearer.
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