很多人都觉得在数字货币圈子里，到处充斥着一夜暴富的神话。哪怕你不懂什么是区块链，买币高抛低吸就能赚钱，同样也有一部分人认为区块链最赚钱的不是发币，那么币圈人是怎么暴富的呢?一起来看看下文详细介绍。
A lot of people think that in digital money circles, there's a lot of myths about one-night rich. Even if you don't know what a block chain is, you can make money when you buy it, and some think it's not the currency that makes the most money, then how is the money rich? Let's take a look at the details below.
一、发币到底是一个怎样的游戏?
What kind of game is it?
大部分发币的人理由都很类似，发币来钱快啊。
Most senders have similar reasons. They pay fast.
债权融资，押房押车，带嫖带赌，行长仍抽贷;VC融资，编大故事，吐干唾沫，TS仍被撕。
Credit financing, bets on the house, bets on the client, and the governor still borrows; VC financing, stories, spits and TS is still torn up.
发币呢?只用花40万做个法务合规，花50万做一套白皮书和网站，花100万足够搞定国内外市场宣发，就能募得数亿的资金。现在行情不好，募不到几个亿，但是募到个5000万还是不难的。
What about coins? With 400,000 dollars for legal compliance, half a million dollars for a white paper and a website, one million dollars for domestic and foreign market announcements, and hundreds of millions of dollars. It's not easy to get 50 million dollars.
200万成本拿到5000万，稳赚不赔。换成我，我也三点钟不睡觉了。
Two million at a cost of 50 million. I wouldn't sleep at 3:00.
当5000万拿在手上，这时才开始想，这5000万是用什么东西交换回来的。
That's when 50 million is in hand, and that's when you start thinking, that's 50 million in exchange for something.
「哦，token，不过是我印刷的废纸」，很多年轻的项目方会这么想，「需印假钱换真钱，莫用真钱买假钱」，于是就潇洒去了。
"Oh, Token, it's just a piece of paper I've printed," and many young projecters think it's "for real money, don't buy fake money with real money" and then they're squeezing it.
上了交易所以后，暴跌的现实才会扑面而来。因为前20名以外的币基本上没有信仰，一级市场的币民无非抢着卖出赚个一二级市场差价，再去「梭哈」下一个项目。
After the exchange, the collapse of the reality will take place. Because the top 20 foreign currencies are largely unfaithful, first-marketers sell to earn a second-tier market price, and then go to Sokha’s next project.
项目方的第一个选择，是任由币价下跌。
The first option for the project side was to allow the currency to fall.
下跌的第一阶段：不要怕，只是技术性调整。上有老，下有小，跪求X总拉拉盘。
First stage down: Don't worry, it's just a technical adjustment. There's old, there's small, kneeling to the X Master Ladder.
下跌的第二阶段：狗庄拉盘，直播跳楼，直播割腕。
The second phase of the fall: dog plowing, jumping and cutting the wrists live.
下跌的第三阶段：盘内招盘外招一起出，有的走立案程序，有的则是开始打人砸办公室。
The third stage of the fall: the in-house approach was to come together, either to open the case, or to start smashing the office.
这个时候，项目方才意识到币民的可怕，币民既可以在求投资份额时像狗一样摇尾巴，也可以在维权时拿着敌敌畏走进办公室。
It was only then that the project party realized the terrible nature of the coinmen, who could move their tails like dogs when they sought their share of the investment, or walk into the office with the enemy fear while defending their rights.
币民的逻辑也很有意思：富人和富人之间讲权责关系，但穷苦百姓和富人之间，一定是富人为富不仁。ICO本就是违法，赚钱我就走人，不赚钱我就报警。
The logic of the coin people is also interesting: the rich and the rich talk about power and responsibility, but the poor and the rich must be rich and poor. The ICO is illegal, making money and I leave, and I call the police if I don't.
于是只剩下第二种选择，拉盘呗，当初5000万卖出去的Token，又开始被抛售回项目方手上。项目方接不接得住这个盘，得看下述三个问题：
So there's only the second option, the zipper, where 50 million Tokens were sold and sold back to the project side. The project side can't catch the plate, depending on the following three questions:
1、一级市场(私募市场)释放的Token有多少会成为卖盘?
1. How many Tokens are released from the first level of the market (private market) to be sold?
20%还是30%?很有可能是90%，除了持币太多无法出货的情况，小散当然是能跑多快跑多快。每一个币民都希望别人是死忠粉，只有自己看清楚一切，然而这一波币市的参与者已经不是大爷大妈了，互联网信息流通的速度极大地缩短一个资金盘的周期。
20% or 30%? It's probably 90%, except in cases where there are too many coins to deliver. Each dollar wants others to be dead, but only to see it clearly, but the market's players are no longer big mothers, and the speed of Internet information flows dramatically shortens the cycle of a money tray.
2、二级市场(交易所市场)有多少买盘?
2. How many options are available in the secondary market (exchange market)?
同上，对于币民而言，同样是50名开外不具备主体资信的币，一个让我在二级市场买入，一个给我参加一级市场私募投资的机会，毫无疑问是选择后者。当每一个币民都认为自己可以参加私募更便宜的拿到货，谁还会在二级市场当接盘侠呢?
In the same way as in the case of coinmen, it is 50 coins without major credit, one that I buy in the secondary market, and one that gives me the opportunity to participate in private investment in the primary market, the latter of course. When every coinman thinks he or she can get his or her goods at a cheaper price, who's going to be in the secondary market?
3、币民要在什么价格退出才满意?
Three. What is the price to be satisfied with?
理论上，币民只要不赔钱就好了，但币民的成本和项目方的成本可不一样，由于代投(币民参与私募的渠道)大约需要赚50%的佣金，币民的成本可能是项目方成本的2倍。举例而言，项目方给代投的价格是1枚ETH可兑1000枚Token，但代投给币民的价格是1枚ETH可兑500枚Token——项目方的Token成本是1/1000ETH，而币民成本是1/500ETH，足足两倍。
Theoretically, as long as the money is not paid, the cost of the money is different from that of the project side, which may cost twice the cost of the project side because of the commission of about 50% of the money (the channel through which the currency participates in private collection). For example, the cost of the project side is 1 ETH vs. 1,000 Tokens, but the price of 1 ETH vs. 500 Token & mdash; & mdash; the cost of the project side is 1/1000 ETHs and the cost of 1,500 ETHs is twice the full.
更大的套路并非这个，而是ETH本身!当项目方募资时，币民疯狂买入ETH造就ETH涨至8000元人民币，ETH的既得利益方开始在高位出货。当项目方想要卖出ETH来给自己的Token拉盘时，ETH的价格很快暴跌至2500元人民币。
The bigger setup is not this, but the ETH itself. When the projecters raise money, the money buys ETH to raise it to 8,000 yuan, and the ETH's vested interests start to sell it at higher heights. When the projecters want to sell it to their own Token lats, the prices of ETH quickly plunged to 2,500 yuan.
当币民要求保本退出时，要求的是1Token=1/500ETH=16元，而项目方手头的筹码只有1Token=1/1000ETH=2.5元了。呜呼哀哉，只剩1/6了，拉得动盘才怪。
When the coinman asked for the bailout, it was 1 Token = 1/500 ETH = 16, while only 1 Token = 1/1000 ETH = 2.5. Woe, there's only one sixth left.
我们乐观再乐观一些地假设，当初5000万的募资额，需要1亿资金即可拉住，那么项目方的现金流也是如图所示。
We are optimistic about assuming that the original fund-raising of $50 million would take $100 million, and that the cash flow from the project side would be as shown in the figure.
你以为印的是废纸，其实印的是借条，你以为赚的是利润，其实赚的只是现金流。
You think it's scrap paper, but it's a loan, and you think it's a profit, but it's a cash flow.
二、那这些币圈人是怎么暴富的?
"Strong" II, how do these coins get rich?
毕竟吸引我们投入宝贵时间来研究的，一定是币圈暴富的神话。在讲完了发币圈钱的实质后，再来讲讲币圈如何暴富。以下三个小故事，以飨读者：
After all, it must be the myth of a rich currency that attracts us to devote valuable time to research. After talking about the substance of the money in the currency chain, then it's about how rich it is.
1、项目方
Project participants
某项目方在ETH2000元的时候发项目募资，在ETH8000元的时候偷偷卖掉套现，相对人民币净赚4倍，相对今天ETH价格净赚12倍。即便将当初投资人的钱翻倍还回，自己还能剩下10倍。按照去年募资额数亿来算，到手就是数十亿的利润，可以说是真正赚到了的人。
One of the projects raised money for the project at ETH-2000, sold it secretly at ETH 8,000, earning four times the renminbi and 12 times today’s ETH price. Even if the investor’s money was doubled back, he could still have 10 times as much left.
换句话说，这和做个P2P平台，用募资金额去炒期货，也没什么差别。唯一的差别在于法律的监管，对于开P2P炒期货的行为已有判例，3年以上10年以下有期徒刑。而发ICO呢?赚钱没事，赔钱了也很难定罪，只要稳住币民情绪，几年过后又是一条好汉。
In other words, there is no difference between a P2P platform that uses fund-raising to fire futures. The only difference is in the regulation of the law, where there is a case for P2P futures, with a prison sentence of three to ten years.
相比于法律上的风险，获得巨额财富本身，对人性就是一个挑战。不是每一个暴富的项目方都知道自己是如何暴富的，某个项目的发行人，我在去年底见到时还是光滑的面庞，几个月后再在视频中看到，已经是满面脓疱。据说，这种情况是因为溜冰排不出毒所致。快感，真正让人飘飘欲仙的快感，正因为脱离常轨，才能达到!
It's a challenge to humanity, compared to the legal risks, to acquire enormous wealth per se. Not every rich projecter knows how he or she is rich, the publisher of a project, I saw a smooth face at the end of last year, and then a few months later in the video, it's full of faces. This is said to be due to the fact that ice skating is not toxic.
2、代投
2. Sub-opinion
代投指的是委托投资的人，一边向上家拿到份额，一边分发销售给下家。没有人知道自己的上家有几级，直到几起跑路事件以后，人们才发现，竟然存在长达20级的代投链条。而且很有意思的是，越是高级的代投，素质越差，微商、宝妈、邮币卡、贷款销售。越是底层的代投，反倒素质越高，来自大投行、信托、创业者、VC。和任何财富管理的生意一样，理论上，只是销售金融产品，不承担风险。而实际上呢?出了问题，币民还是会找代投要个说法。尤其是，当损失不是币价暴跌，而是由于上家跑路导致没有发币。
And the interesting thing is that the more advanced the investment, the less qualified the microscopic, the bovine, the mail card, the loan sales. The more the bottom, the better the investment, the higher the quality from the big investment, the trust, the entrepreneur, the VC. And, like any wealth-managed business, in theory, just sells financial products without taking risks.
在曾经的某大代投跑路事件中，最大的问题倒不是这个币的投资人遭受损失，而是某些代投在下家的武力胁迫下，动用其他项目的代投资金填坑，引发的连锁反应。曾经的神奇少女已经卷着资金在海外玩耍，但流亡无法归国，这份代价不是每个人都愿意承受。
The biggest problem in a previous generation’s run-off was not the loss of the money’s investors, but the chain reaction caused by the use of alternative investment funds to fill the pits under the duress of the next generation. A once amazing young girl already had money to play abroad, but exile could not return to the country, at a price that everyone would not be willing to bear.
3、币民
Three. The coinman.
我们北京有一个一起玩的互联网金融小圈子，仍然记得去年有一个做互金客服的大姐比我们都先开始炒币，据说赚了不少钱。
We in Beijing have a small Internet financial circle, and we still remember that last year a big sister in an exchange of gold, who started selling coins before all of us, is said to have made a lot of money.
一起聊天时，好些朋友自嘲，我们那么懂金融，结果赚钱远不如一个客服大姐。我说不尽然，市场是最懂每个人强弱的，如果心智没有到达水平，赚到的钱还是会还给市场。说归说，我们还是用了浑身解数，力劝大姐赶紧把币全部卖了，换成人民币。卖完后，我们也是为她舒了一口气。
When we talk together, friends laugh at themselves, and we're so good at finance that we don't make as much money as a customer to a sister. I say that markets are the most powerful, and if they don't reach the level, the money we make will be paid back to the market. We're still trying to convince her to sell all the money in exchange for the yuan. After selling it, we're also comforting her.
几周前，看到大姐在网上发糖果(新上线币的营销奖励)，问候了一下，我才发现——大姐忍不住，又把全部身家杀入币市，结果被深度套牢，只能靠发一发糖果赚点小钱为生。
A few weeks ago, when I saw my sister send candy online (new online sales reward), I found out — & mdash; who couldn't help but kill all her family in the currency market, and was locked in deep and able to earn a living by sending a single piece of candy.
对于那些破产几次最终暴富的人，我真心尊重他们的财富和成就。而新进入，又缺乏深刻思考的暴富者，实际上很难留住财富。在人生的岔路上总是跟随别人的判断，指望幸运降临，这样的傻瓜无药可救!
I truly respect the wealth and achievements of those who have gone bankrupt a few times, and it is difficult for the rich, who have entered and lacked in-depth thinking, to retain their wealth. On the fork in their lives, they always follow the judgment of others and expect to be lucky, and there is no cure for such fools!
三、数字货币的未来
币的本身(如比特币)，提供了全球唯一一个不依赖中心记账的绝对公正的账本，在财富储存和跨境转账方面具备极大地应用价值。发币本身也有广阔的未来，或许是全球化优秀企业获取流动性溢价的绝佳方式，将缩短传统股权市场的摩擦成本。
The currency itself (e.g. bitcoin) provides the only absolutely fair global account that does not rely on central bookkeeping, and is of great value in terms of wealth storage and cross-border transfers. The currency itself has a broad future, perhaps an excellent way to obtain liquidity premiums for the best globalized firms, which will reduce the friction costs of traditional equity markets.
但可以确定的一点是，在加密货币被监管认可和广泛应用之前，一个真正的优质企业不可能冒着法律风险通过ICO去募资。这件事情不用费脑子就能想明白，或者说，A股的3000家上市企业，为何无一发币?
But it is certain that a truly high-quality firm cannot take the legal risk of raising money through the ICO until the encoded currency is recognized and widely used. This is a matter that needs no brain to understand, or why there is not a single dollar for the 3,000 listed companies in A’s stock.
答案不言自明，当下99%的ICO，就是毫无价值的空气包装销售给散户。这场狗庄和狗散的游戏，最终没有赢家。
The answer is self-evident: 99% of ICOs are now sold to the homeless with worthless air wrappings. This game of dog and dog dispersing has no winner.
发币之前，先想好几个问题：
Before giving out the coins, think of a few questions:
1.拿到手的钱，到底赚的是利润，还是赚的现金流。
1. Whether the money obtained is profit-making or cash flow earned.
2.投资者亏损后，会自负盈亏抹眼泪，还是会带「社会人」杀上门去?
2. Will investors lose their share of the profits and their tears, or will they take the "social" to the door?
3.为什么徐老师如此鼓吹区块链后，真格的700+投资项目中，真正发币的也没几个?
3. Why is it that, after Mr. Xu has so advocated the block chain, few of the real 700+ investment projects actually pay?
4.你能判断1年后行业的格局，还是在「蒙眼狂奔」?
Can you judge the pattern of the industry after a year, or is it a blindfold run?
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