短短的24小时内，BTC从最低点6250美金，最高冲击7225美金，1000多点，累计振幅达到了15%。剧烈波动的行情后，反弹行情能否延续？
Within a short 24 hours, BTC will be able to bounce back from a low of $6250, a maximum impact of $7225, more than 1,000, with a cumulative amplitude of of 15% .
首先来解释下，短时行情剧烈波动的原因，来源于币市流动性不足。
First of all, the reason for the volatility of short-term behaviors is due to insufficient liquidity in the currency market.
前期3.12币市暴跌崩盘，导致加密货币市场当下的人气不足，大批投资者割肉离场，场内幸存的投资者参与交易的意愿不强，市场整体的交易深度不够，没有充足的对手盘存在，这种情况下，极易引发短时币价被操纵产生剧烈波动的情况。
The collapse of the previous 3.12-dollar market led to the current understaffing of the crypto-currency market, the departure of a large number of investors, the weak willingness of the surviving investors to engage in the transaction, the insufficient depth of the overall transaction in the market of and the lack of an adequate inventory of rivals in circumstances such as , where
BTC的K线图也支持这一论断，今日凌晨大盘运行至6900美金附近，5分钟内4%级别的放量上涨冲击7225美金，随后又下跌至6900美金之下，这是合约市场主力操纵的又一轮多空双爆收割局，24小时内累计爆仓2.47亿美金。
The BTC's K-line map also supports the assertion that, in the early morning hours of this year, a 4 per cent-grade rise hit $7225 in five minutes, and then fell below $6900, another round of a multi-empty double-bust harvest , dominated by the `b' contract market, with a cumulative explosion of $247 million in 24 hours.
了解了原因之后，我们再来看反弹行情能否延续的问题。
When we understand the reasons, we turn to the question of whether will be sustainable.
日线级别，大盘走得是一个反弹中继的行情，MACD线从3800美金底部金叉后，一直向0轴靠近，并在前次日线级别下跌至5800美金附近获得了支撑，金叉走势得以延续，因此可以说，当下仍处于暴跌后的反弹修复行情，整体多头力量稍强。
At the level of the solar line, the big plate was a rebound, followed by , the MACD line was close to the axis from the bottom of $3,800 to the bottom of the gold fork, and sustained near the previous line level of $5,800, and the golden fork continued, so it can be said that was still in the wake of a sharp fall to repair the rebound for a slightly larger number of people.
既然是反弹走势，那么反弹的压力位在哪里？
If it's a rebound, where's the rebound pressure?
从这段时间的BTC走势来看，目前的一个压力位在7000美金。底部反弹以来，冲击了3次，第一次是插针，第二次是高位横盘整理后下跌，这一次也是插针，但短时间内还没有走出来，因此仍需要等待，来判断是否有效突破的问题。考虑到上周外部股市收盘后，BTC走了一波独立行情，今天周五，基本上这周内应该能判断出这次冲击7000美金，到底是插针假突破，还是能真突破。
In view of the BTC's performance during this period, the current pressure is at $7,000 . Since the bottom rebound, it has hit three times, the first was a needle, the second was a needle drop after a high-swipe system, but it has not come out in a short period of time, and it still has to wait to decide whether or not to make an effective breakthrough. Given last week's closure of the external stock market, BTC has gone a wave of independence, and today, Friday, should basically be able to tell whether the shock of $7,000 was a needle break or a real break.
除了7000美金压力位外，再往上，就是7800-8000美金强压区间。这是3月12日大瀑布的起点位置和盘整区间，也是去年9月大瀑布后的底部支撑区间，11-12月份行情在底部徘徊的区间压力位置，压力还是较强的。
In addition to the $7,000 pressure position, the upwards are the $7800-8000 pressure zone . This is the starting position and the entire area of the Great Falls on March 12th, the base support area after the Great Falls last September, and the pressure from November to December is still high at the bottom of the pressure zone.
可以说，一旦7000美金有效站稳，多头便有机会在日内冲击此区间，此区间也代表着中短期形势的好转，可以有效缓解前期崩盘引发的极度恐慌情绪，为市场带来乐观的氛围，让投资者对后市的行情继续保持期待。
It can be said that once $7,000 is effectively established, there will be an opportunity to hit the area in the daytime, which also represents an improvement in the short- and medium-term situation and can effectively alleviate the extreme panic caused by the previous collapse, creating a climate of optimism for the market and keeping investors looking forward to the future.
问题是，现在提加密货币市场行情的好转，还为时尚早。因为外部的大环境，疫情在欧美并没有得到有效的遏制，因疫情引发的经济危机、社会矛盾也在逐步释放中。可以说，中短期内外部大环境是处于恶化状态的，在这个大前提下，加密货币市场能否独善其身？我个人觉得是难度颇大的，币市还是会受到外部环境影响和制约，因为在危机和不确定性面前，投资者对投资会比较慎重。
The problem is that it is too early for to mention the improvement of the encrypt currency market. The epidemic has not been effectively contained in Europe and the United States because of the prevailing external environment, and the economic crisis caused by the epidemic and social contradictions are gradually being released. It can be said that the large external environment in the short and medium term of is in a state of deterioration /b. Can the encrypt the encrypt currency market in this broader context? I personally find it difficult, and the currency market is subject to external environmental impacts and constraints, because investors are more cautious about investing in the face of crisis and uncertainty.
但是呢？相对于外部的金融市场来说，币市还是略显小众的金融市场，与外部成熟的金融体系存在脱钩，相对独立，其资金体量和用户基数都小很多。理论上讲，只需要很小的资金量（相对于外部的金融市场来说），就可以造成剧烈的波动性（上涨）。因此，可以预期到的是，BTC市场是有概率先于传统金融市场一步，好转起来的。
But what? As opposed to external financial markets, is a slightly smaller financial market theoretically, only a small amount of capital (as opposed to an external financial market) can cause extreme volatility (upturn). , therefore, it can be expected that the BTC market has the probability of improving before traditional financial markets.
同时，BTC设计之初，初衷是对抗法币的通货膨胀，让市场自由竞争。其2100万总量限制和POW挖矿机制，通过算法来逐步释放市场流动性，在需求增加而供应完全缺乏弹性的双向作用下，比特币变得越来越稀缺。
At the same time, the BTC was originally designed to counter French-currency inflation and allow the market to compete freely. Its 21 million total limits and Pow mining mechanisms gradually release market liquidity through algorithms. Bitcoin is becoming scarce under the two-way effect of increased demand and completely inelastic supply.
因此，如果外部环境进一步恶化，导致法币信用危机这类黑天鹅事件，那么具有通缩和抗通胀属性的比特币，自然的会引发更多的人的兴趣和关注度，这对BTC和币市来说，是个难得的机会。
Thus, if the external environment deteriorates further, leading to black swan events such as the French-currency credit crisis, the natural interest and interest of Bitcoins, which are deflationary and anti-inflationary properties, is a rare opportunity for BTC and the currency market.
回到行情上，和早行情差不多，BTC短时向上插针7200美金后，以6800美金为支点，在6700-6900美金区间内盘整，7000美金仍是近期的压力区间。短时的看点也在这里，7000美金能否有效突破的问题，突破了，上涨空间便打开了通道；突破不了，则有可能遭遇空头的打压，短线支撑在6600美金，再往下是6000-6200美金支撑区间。
Back on the road, just like the early days, BTC put $7,200 in short-time needles, with $6,800 as a back-up point, in an area of $6700-69000, with $7,000 still in the recent pressure zone. The short-term point is here, too, where the question of whether $7,000 could be effectively broken >/b> breaks through, and the rising space opens the way; if it does not, there is a risk that it will be pressured by the empty, the short line will be maintained at $6,600, and it will be $6,000-6,200 below.
需要谨记的是，当下的市场行情，并不是由我们散户决定的，而是要看市场的主要参与者，BTC持币大户，主流交易所，大矿机厂商，大矿池矿场，以及各类游资们之间的博弈程度如何。我们能做的，是保住自己的本金安全，慎重的选择进场时机和交易策略，顺势而为，同时苦练内功，让自己更顽强的生存下来，再牟发展和利润。
What needs to be borne in mind is that ’s current market dynamics are not determined by our own diaspora, but by the extent to which the main players in the market, BTC large-scale money-holdings, mainstream exchanges, large-scale miners, large-scale ponds, and all kinds of travel capital have played games. What we can do is to keep
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