这是一场可提前预知的崩盘。“USDT无法兑换USD，即将暴雷”的消息流传3天后，10月15日，USDT遭遇大量恐慌性抛售。其价格一度从6.9元人民币跌落至6元，暴跌13%。同时，BTC迎来小牛，五分钟内上涨5.65%，价格一度冲破7500美元大关。
Three days after the news spread, on October 15, USDT experienced a massive panic sale. The price fell from $6.9 to $6, a 13% drop. At the same time, BTC approached the calf, rising by 5.65% in five minutes, breaking the price of $7,500.
usdt暴跌
共识土崩瓦解，USDT揭开最后一层遮羞布，Tether公司也早就千疮百孔。操纵币价、审计不透明、与Bitfinex实为一家公司、和Nobe Bank交情颇深、Nobe Bank或破产、Bitfinex缺乏足够的兑付能力......质疑一浪高过一浪。
The consensus collapses, the USDT unmasks the last layer of shame, and Tether’s company is already in a state of disarray. Currency price manipulation, lack of transparency in auditing, close ties with Bitfinex, and Nobe Bank, Nobe Bank or bankruptcy, and Bitfinex’s lack of sufficient capacity to pay... a wave of questioning is too high.
因此，大量恐慌性抛售在所难免，而短暂的高潮过后，币圈又恢复了平静。根据Coinmarketcap显示，BTC价格已经回落6500美元附近，ETH价格已回落210美元附近，USDT价格也已经恢复至0.97美元附近。
As a result, a large number of panic sells are inevitable, and the currency circle has returned to calm after a short climax. According to Coinmarkcap, BTC prices have fallen close to $6,500, ETH prices have fallen close to $210, and USDT prices have recovered close to $0.97.
但这或许是暴风雨来临前的宁静。过去问题重重、信任难再建，眼下57个稳定币正在来的路上，等待USDT或许将是一场巨震。
But this may be the calm before the storm. The problems of the past, the difficulties of building trust, the 57 stable coins on the way, and waiting for the USDT might be a big shock.
USDT暴跌，散户求稳
U.S.D.T.C.C.S.S.C.
稳定币王者或将跌下神坛。
The one who stabilizes the currency may fall down the altar.
10月15日午间，USDT价格大跳水。从6.9元人民币跌落至6元，暴跌13%。大量USDT被抛售，稳定币无法扛住风险，投资者选择持有比特币来避险。USDT下跌同时，五分钟内BTC上涨5.65%，其价格冲破7500美元大关，最高涨至7788美元。
In the afternoon of October 15, USDT prices jumped. From 6.9 yuan to 6 yuan, they fell by 13%. Large amounts of USDTs were sold, the stable currency was unable to cover the risk, and investors chose to hold bitcoins to avoid the risk. Meanwhile, the USDT fell, with BTC rising by 5.65% in five minutes, breaking the $7,500 mark, up to $7788.
有人哭诉没能趁机赚到钱。昨日下午1点40分，也就是比特币大涨之前，就有消息人士给出了入场提示：现货BTC6300附近入场，ETH198附近。“错过了这波BTC行情，都怪没听他们的”，有散户告诉区块链Truth（ID:chaintruth），并配出来一个大哭的表情。
Some cry that they failed to make money. Yesterday at 1.40 p.m., before Bitcoin surged, the source gave an entry note: the spot BTC entered near 6300 and ETH 198. And “ missing the wave of BTC without listening to their & rdquao; and there was a scattered account telling Truth (ID:chaintruth) and a crying face.
也有人趁着这波小牛尽可能套现。数字货币不安稳，散户们选择“法币为王，落袋为安”。“44300出BTC，1480出ETH”，在一个炒币微信群里，币友们正在寻求最后的安定。
There are also those who take advantage of it as much as possible. The digital currency is unstable, and the swarms choose & ldquao; the French coin is king and the bag is An & rdquao; & & ldquao; 44300 BTC and 1480 ETH& rdquao; and, in a monetic group, the currency friends are seeking final stability.
事实上，进入10月以来，USDT的价格一直不景气，在多个平台上对美元的成交价格一路下跌。昨日，USDT在四大平台上折算价格从0.89~0.94美元不等，持有100万USDT价值最多缩水了11%。
Indeed, USDT prices have been depressed since the beginning of October, falling all the way down against the dollar on multiple platforms. Yesterday, USDT converted prices on four platforms ranged from 0.89 to 0.94 dollars, holding up to 11% of the $1 million USDT value.
这样的价格创下去年底以来最低水平。过去，USDT连续下跌的时间最长不过4天，如今，USDT已经创造了连续8天下跌的记录。此外，USDT的价格已连续六周没有出现过“溢价”，一直徘徊在1美元下方。
This price has been at its lowest level since the end of the year. In the past, USDT has been declining for as long as four consecutive days, and now USDT has made a record of eight consecutive days. In addition, USDT prices have not been &ldquao; premium & rdquao; they have been hovering under a dollar for six consecutive weeks.
同时，USDT成交量也在下降。根据CMC统计，USDT每日成交量已经触及了20亿美元低点，七日滚动成交量（本月）已触及23亿美元低点，刷新四个月来最低水平。
At the same time, the USDT turnover is declining. According to CMC, the USDT turnover has reached a low of $2 billion a day, while the seven-day rolling volume (this month) has reached a low of $2.3 billion, refreshing its lowest level in four months.
昔日的稳定币王者辉煌不再，这样的情形或许是注定的结局，USDT背后的发行方Tether公司早就问题重重。
It may be the end of a situation where the once-stable king is no longer brilliant, and the issuer, Tether, behind the USDT, has long been problematic.
疯狂发币，疑似操控币价
He's mad at me. He's probably trying to control the price.
2017年4月之后，USDT的发行速度暴增。
After April 2017, the rate of distribution of USDT increased dramatically.
根据Coinmarketcap数据显示，截至2017年4月，USDT仅仅发行了5900万枚代币。截至2018年10月15日，USDT共发行25亿多枚，据今年1月份流传出的名为《The Tether Report》匿名分析报告指出，在2017年3月29日至2018年1月4日，Tether总计发行91次USDT。
According to Coinmarkcap data, as of April 2017, USDT issued only 59 million tokens. As of October 15, 2018, USDT issued more than 2.5 billion copies. According to the anonymous analysis report entitled The Tether Report, circulated in January of this year, Tether issued a total of 91 USDTs between 29 March 2017 and 4 January 2018.
超量增发引起了怀疑。美国德克萨斯大学教授曾发文指出，比特币价格上涨的50%都与Tether被打入交易所有关。论文指出，当比特币价格下跌时，用Tether买入的量通常都会增加，从而令跌势逆转。而在比特币价格上涨时，相反的情况却并未出现。“这意味着Tether被用于在跌势中保护比特币价格”，即Tether被用于支撑甚至操纵加密货币价格。
A professor at the University of Texas in the United States wrote that 50% of the price increase in bitcoin was related to Tether’s entry into the exchange. The paper noted that when bitcoin prices fell, the amount purchased with Tether usually increased, reversing the fall.
同时，《The Tether Report》分析报告得出的结果也证实了这一观点。报告指出，比特币的价格波动与USDT超发高度相关，Tether在9个月内发行91次USDT期间，48.7%的BTC价格大涨均发生在USDT发行之后的2小时内，而这段时间只占到比特币总交易时间的不到3%。
At the same time, this view is confirmed by the findings of the Analysis of The Tether Report, which states that the price volatility of Bitcoins is highly correlated with the USDT excess, and that during nine months when Tether issued 91 USDTs, 48.7 per cent of the BTC price hikes took place within two hours of the release of the USDT, which accounted for less than 3 per cent of the total Bitcoin trading time.
据此，ChaiNext分析师根据自建全节点钱包数据对USDT增发以及BTC、ETH价格进行了相关性分析。
On this basis, ChaiNext analysts performed a relevant analysis of the USDT increases and BTC and ETH prices based on self-built full node wallet data.
伴随着USDT增发，市场会出现剧烈波动，且BTC/ETH价格会出现持续一到两天上涨，随后下跌
With the increase in the USDT, the market will be volatile, and BTC/ETH prices will continue to rise for one or two days, and then fall.
同时，根据Coinmarketcap的数据，一段时间内，每天都有数亿美元的USDT在几个交易所间换手。以上种种，均从侧面反映出USDT有操纵市场的嫌疑。
At the same time, according to Coinmarketcap, hundreds of millions of dollars of USDTs change hands among several exchanges every day for a period of time. All of these side-by-side reflect the suspicion that USDT is manipulating the market.
账户上真的有那么多钱么
Do you really have that kind of money on the account?
Tether宣称严格遵守1：1的准备金保证，这就意味着每发行1枚USDT代币，其银行帐户都会有1美元的资金保障。
Tether claims strict compliance with the 1:1 reserve guarantee, which means that for every USDT token issued, its bank account will have a $1 guarantee.
在2017年9月15日之前，Tether确实是这么做的。根据Friedman公司出具的审计报告显示，Tether以及Tether相关公司的银行账户共有4.43亿美元以及1590欧元（约1970美元）。根据Coinmarketcap数据，2017年9月15日USDT在市场上流通的发行总数所对应的美元价值共计4.22亿美元。这就意味着Tether账户的资产与USDT发行的数量是吻合的。
Tether did so before 15 September 2017. According to the audit report issued by Friedman, Tether and Tether-related bank accounts amounted to $443 million and Euro1590 (approximately US$ 1970). According to Coinmarkcap data, the total circulation of USDT on the market on 15 September 2017 amounted to US$422 million. This means that the assets of the Tether account correspond to the amount of USDT issued.
随后，Tether公司并没有披露任何审计报告。这引发了投资者诸多质疑。
Subsequently, Tether did not disclose any audit reports. This raised numerous questions from investors.
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