60000美元的大关未破,比特币却开启闪崩模式。
The $60000 mark is still open, while Bitcoin opens up the crash pattern.
3月12日,比特币重振旗鼓,币价一度拉升至58139美元,逼近2月创下的历史高点。
On 12 March, Bitcoin re-energized and at a point when it rose to $58139, reaching a historic high in February.
据AssetDash预测,比特币市值可能会很快超过谷歌的母公司Alphabet,甚至超过韩元的货币供应量。
According to AssetDash, the market value of Bitcoin is likely to soon exceed that of Alphabet, the parent company of Google, or even the currency supply of Korean won.
然而,比特币当晚突然闪崩,两小时狂泻超3000美元,让众多投资者目瞪口呆,“避险资产”已成为“高风险”资产。
However, the sudden collapse of Bitcoin that night, with a two-hour blizzard of over $3,000, left many investors stunned, and the “risk-free asset” became a “high-risk” asset.
狂跌3000美元 比特币闪崩
3月12日,比特币价格一路走高,短线突破58000美元关口,距离创历史新高仅一步之遥。然而晚间9时左右,比特币价格却突然闪崩,连破58000美元、57000美元、56000美元三大关口,两小时内跌超3000美元,最低下探至55088美元。
On March 12, Bitcoin prices went up, short-lined by $58,000, one step away from the historic height. At about 9:00 p.m., however, Bitcoin prices suddenly collapsed, breaking down three major gates: $58,000, $57,000, and $56,000, and falling over $3,000 in two hours, with a minimum detection of $55088.
北京时间3月13日,比特币价格企稳回升。截至发稿前,暂报57156美元,微涨0.35%。
On March 13, Beijing time, Bitcoin prices recovered steadily.
比特币价格急转直下,期货合约市场多头哀声一片。玩合约的多头们没有料到,白天一片大好的行情下,晚间却来了个血洗。UAlCoin数据显示,虚拟货币合约一日内共爆仓超52亿元人民币,超2万多头惨遭血洗。
The price of bitcoin has turned upside down, and the futures contracts market has been wailing all over the place. Many of the parties in the deal didn't expect it, and a good day's walk, but a bloodbath came in the evening. UAlCoin data show that the virtual currency contracts in one day were over 5.2 billion yuan yuan, and more than 20,000 head were bloodbathed.
数据来源:UAlCoin
值得注意的是,一年前的今天,是比特币历史上的“黑暗一日”。2020年3月12日,自当晚7时起,比特币30分钟内狂泻2000美元,当日最大跌幅达44.24%;第二天,比特币仍未停止跌势,最低跌至4705美元。虚拟货币总市值直线跌破2000亿美元。
It is worth noting that today, a year ago, was the “Dark Day” in the history of Bitcoin. On 12 March 2020, at 7 p.m., Bitcoin sank for 2,000 dollars in 30 minutes, with its largest drop of 44.24 per cent on that day; the next day, Bitcoin continued to fall, falling to a low of $4705. The total market value of the virtual currency fell by $200 billion.
不过,比特币自那以后便开启了逆袭之路,目前价格已比那时暴涨超1000%。
However, Bitcoin has since set in motion a backlash and now prices have soared by over 1,000 per cent.
火币联合创始人杜均对此表示,尽管近期币价走高提振了市场信心,业内也普遍看好,但不可忽视的是,美国通胀指数CPI符合预期,美国股市三大指数上涨也对虚拟货币市场的情绪有影响。比特币近期的上涨,和许多传统公司大举购入比特币有一定关系。
The founder of the United Currency Union, Dou, said that, while recent increases in currency prices have boosted market confidence and were generally well received in the industry, it is important not to lose sight of the fact that the US inflation index CPI meets expectations and that the rise in the three major indices in the US stock market has also had an impact on the mood in the virtual currency market. The recent rise in bitcoins has had some bearing on the large-scale purchases of bitcoin by many traditional companies.
知名交易平台遭调查
昨晚比特币的重挫,或与一则知名交易平台被调查的消息有关。
Bitcoin suffered a major setback last night or was linked to news that a well-known trading platform had been investigated.
3月12日晚间,有媒体报道,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)正对虚拟货币交易平台币安进行调查,调查内容是该公司是否允许美国居民违规交易其监管的衍生品。
On the evening of 12 March, media reports reported that the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) was conducting an investigation into the virtual currency trading platform, currency security, into whether the company had allowed United States residents to trade illegally in derivatives under its supervision.
据知情人士透露,币安没有在CFTC注册。但币安没有被指控有不当行为,调查可能不会导致任何执法行动。CFTC将比特币和以太币等虚拟货币视为大宗商品,并对其期货和其他衍生品享有管辖权。这意味着,如果美国人在虚拟货币平台上交易,无论交易所位于何处,平台都面临着严格的客户保护和监管要求。
CFTC treats virtual currency, such as bitcoins and tufts, as large commodities, and has jurisdiction over their futures and other derivatives. This means that if Americans deal on virtual money platforms, the platforms face strict customer protection and regulatory requirements wherever the exchange is located.
一位接近该交易平台的人士对中国证券报记者透露,币安没有重大事故,严格遵守规则,目前只是接受调查。
A man close to the trading platform revealed to the Chinese Stock Exchange journalist that there had been no major incident, that the rules had been strictly observed and that he was currently under investigation.
有加密行业人士称,此次调查迹象表明,美国监管机构可能会阻碍虚拟货币投资成为美国的主流投资方式,正加大对虚拟货币违规的打击力度。
According to the encryption industry, the survey suggests that United States regulators may be preventing virtual currency investment from becoming the dominant mode of investment in the United States and are stepping up their fight against virtual currency irregularities.
而就在1天前,国内三大虚拟货币交易平台火币、欧易(OKEx)和币安的官方微博账号集体被封。对此,中国证券报记者向相关交易平台证实了账号被封禁的事实,但均表示不清楚具体原因,会尽快与微博方面沟通。
Just one day ago, the official Twitter accounts of the country’s three virtual currency trading platforms – the gun, the OeEx, and the currency – were blocked. In response, the Chinese Stock Exchange journalists confirmed to the relevant trading platforms the fact that the account was blocked, but they all said that the specific reasons were unclear and that they would communicate with the Twitter community as soon as possible.
目前,火币和欧易的微博账号封面显示,该账号因被投诉违反法律法规和《微博社区公约》的相关规定,现已无法查看。
At present, the cover of the coin and the e-mail account shows that it is not now accessible because of complaints of violations of the laws and regulations and the provisions of the Convention on the Community of Weibo.
不少投资者把这些信号视作近期比特币回调的导火索,并表示:“币圈人心惶惶的时刻又来了”“政策倾向已经明显”。
A number of investors viewed these signals as a trigger for the recent return of bitcoin, saying that “the time for panic in the currency has come again” and that “policy tendencies have become apparent”.
图片来源:微博
监管或重拳出击?
比特币近期风光无限,演绎了无数“一夜暴富”和“血本无归”的传奇故事。有分析指出,监管因素或让其丧失价值。
Bitcoin’s recent winds have been endless, with countless legends of “night rich” and “bloodless.” An analysis suggests that regulatory factors may have lost their value.
花旗近日发布报告认为,对虚拟货币来说,监管政策改变是最大的风险。如果监管收紧,部分投机性资金将回归黄金市场。
Citigroup recently released a report suggesting that regulatory policy changes are the greatest risk to virtual currency. If regulation is tightened, part of speculative funds will return to the gold market.
眼下迫在眉睫的监管风险,或许来自美国政府。上周,美国财长耶伦再次表示了对比特币的否定态度,她不认为比特币可以成为广泛使用的交易机制,还指出比特币“往往被用于非法融资”。
There is an imminent regulatory risk, perhaps from the US government. Last week, US Treasury Secretary Ellen once again expressed the negative attitude of Bitcoin, who did not believe that bitcoin could be a widely used trading mechanism and pointed out that bitcoin was “often used for illicit financing”.
一个月前,国际清算银行(BIS)行长卡斯滕斯也公开指出,比特币更多是一种投机性的资产,而不是货币,因为它缺乏实际的价值支持。卡斯滕斯还提示,“投资者必须认识到,比特币很可能完全崩溃”。
A month ago, Casstens, President of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), publicly stated that bitcoin was more an speculative asset than a currency because it lacked real value support. Carstens also suggested that “investors must recognize that bitcoin is likely to collapse altogether.”
“目前,全世界已经开采出超过1800万枚比特币。随着比特币接近2100万枚的开采上限后,从事比特币工作的人将遭受巨大打击。”在卡斯滕斯看来,比特币和加密货币应该取代法定货币的想法是错误的,因为此举将严重损害世界金融市场。
“To date, the world has mined more than 18 million bitcoins. As Bitcoin approaches the 21 million limit, people working in bitcoins will be hit hard.” In Carstens' view, the idea that bitcoins and encrypted currencies should replace legal currencies is wrong, because this would seriously damage world financial markets.
编辑:叶松
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