全网爆仓34亿！“朋友不听劝 杠杆做空破产！”比特币涨破18万元/枚
“谁也没想到比特币涨成了山寨币。群里都冷冷清清，没有妄想暴富的，因为很多人在2万的时候就卖掉了。” 一位投资者对中国证券报记者表示。 “No one would have thought that bitcoin had risen to a mountain coin. The crowds were cold and clear, and there was no delusional wealth, because many people sold it at 20,000.” & nbsp; an investor said to a journalist at the Chinese Stock Exchange. & nbsp; 币圈投资者面面相觑：到底谁赚钱了？ The currency circle accounts with investors: who's making the money? 图片来源：微信群聊 全网爆仓33.96亿元 $3.396 billion nettuff; 时隔三年，比特币终于迎来一波牛市。 Three years later, Bitcoin finally arrived at a bull market. CoinMarketCap数据显示，截至27日18时，比特币一路飙涨，突破27000美元关口，报27642美元(约合人民币18.09万元)，24小时内涨幅达11.7%。比特币的总市值达5116亿美元，约合人民币3.3万亿元，比贵州茅台(市值2.3万亿)高出一万亿，相当于2个工商银行。 CoinMarketCap data show that, as at 1800 hours on 27 September, Bitcoin had stagnated, breaking the $27,000 threshold, reporting US$ 2,7642 (approximately RMB 1,809,000), an increase of 11.7 per cent in 24 hours, bringing the total market value of Bitcoin to US$ 51,1.6 billion, or RMB 3.3 trillion, which is one trillion more than the market value of Kotai ($ 2.3 trillion) in Guizhou, which is equivalent to two business and industry banks. 数据来源：CoinMarketCap 今年比特币一直处于引人注目的涨势之中，成为了疫情之下绝对受益的资产。自3月13日创下4705美元的年内新低之后，比特币目前价格已比那时暴涨超584%。 Bitcoin has been in a dramatic upturn this year, becoming an absolute asset to benefit from the epidemic. After a new low of $4705 in March 13, the price of bitcoin is now 584% higher than at that time. 12月27日，“比特币年底突破15万人民币”一度登上知乎热榜第三位，热度高达1130万。有网友直呼：“暴富行情又来了，比过山车还刺激”，还有网友表示：“比特币和茅台股还挺像的，你越觉得它不能涨，它越涨。” On December 27, “The Bitcoin Breaking By the End of the Year by 150,000 yuan” was on the third place on the Hot List, with a heat of 11.3 million. Some of them called out: “Back rich again, it's more exciting than a roller coaster”, while others said: “Betcoin and poo stock are quite similar, and the more you think it won't go up, the more it goes up.” Alternative.me情绪调查显示，12月27日，虚拟货币市场的交易情绪维持“极度贪婪”超一月之久。 According to an Alternative.me emotional survey, on 27 December, the trading mood in the virtual currency market maintained “extreme greed” for more than a month. 数据来源：Alternative.me 然而，在这一轮大涨中，很多中国的虚拟货币社群却依然冷清。 However, many of China’s virtual monetary communities are still stagnating during this boom. “没想到，牛市来了，我踏空了。币民最大的悲哀在于，比特币涨幅上了头条，各种圈外朋友问我是不是玩比特币赚了不少，而我在一万多的时候就清仓了。现在比特币真的不是普通人玩得起的了，是大洋彼岸机构的游戏。”一位投资者对中国证券报记者表示。 “I didn't think the cow market was coming, and I was empty. The biggest tragedy of the people was that bitcoin was on the headline, and friends from outside the circle asked me if I made a lot of money playing bitcoin, and I cleared it up when I was 10,000 or so. Now Bitcoin is really not an ordinary man's game, it's a game across the ocean.” An investor said to a Chinese securities reporter. 错过牛市不是最惨的，做合约的空军才是哀鸿一片。UAlCoin数据显示，截至发稿前，合约市场上，比特币一天之内，全网总计爆仓33.96亿元人民币。其中，最大一笔爆仓空单损失惨重，金额达6542万人民币。 Not the worst is missing the cow market, but the air force that contracted it. UAlCoin data show that, as of the date of issuance, the contract market, Bitcoin, had a total of RMB 3,396 million in a single day. 数据来源：UAlCoin 空军们没有料到，比特币近日屡创新高，居然丝毫没有回调的意思。“最近的行情真的看不懂，风险太大了。有炒比特币期货的朋友不听劝，破产了。”一位比特币投资者表示。 The air force didn't expect that bitcoin had been inventively high in recent times, and it didn't mean anything back. “The latest behavior really doesn't make sense. It's too risky. A friend with a bitcoin futures doesn't listen. It's bankrupt.” A bitcoin investor says. 区块链和加密数字资产行业的从业者古燕西表示，目前在比特币的交易中加杠杆非常容易，加杠杆的比例又可以非常大，风险就可能更大。在这样的市场环境中，需要保持清醒，以此避免承担大的损失。 Gu Yanxi, a trader in block chains and encrypted digital assets, says that it is easy to leverage in bitcoin transactions now, and that the leverage ratio can be very high, and the risks are likely to be greater. In such a market environment, it is necessary to stay awake in order to avoid large losses. & nbsp; 虚拟货币MXC交易所首席体验官Suzie亦不建议新手玩带杠杆的比特币期货合约。“高杠杆情况下，合约爆仓风险极大。如果采用10倍杠杆，行情波动10%就会爆仓，采用20倍杠杆，行情波动5%就会爆仓。新手对合约的操作、行情的把握及仓位控制、止盈止损策略上都非常不熟悉。操作这样高风险的交易，爆仓风险极大。” Suzie, Chief Experience Officer of the Virtual Currency MXC Exchange, also does not recommend a leveraged Bitcoin futures contract. “In high-leveraging situations, contract bust risks are high. If a 10-fold lever is used, 10-fold volatility will burst, 20-fold leverage will explode, and 5-per-cent volatility will burst. Newcomers are very unfamiliar with contract operations, position management, and storage control, and exit and cessation strategies. Operating such high-risk transactions is very risky.” & nbsp; 马斯克盯上比特币 特斯拉或入局？ 在比特币势如破竹的同时，上周，特斯拉CEO埃隆马斯克也公开表明了他对比特币的兴趣。 At the same time that Bitcoin is in a state of disarray, Tesla CEO Eronmask has publicly expressed his interest in Bitcoin last week. 马斯克在社交网站上向美国上市公司MicroStrategy公司首席执行官迈克塞勒(Michael Saylor)询问，将特斯拉资产负债表上的“大额交易”转换为比特币的可能性，并表示：“比特币的架构非常完美，当然还有一些其他币种，不过，我还不是很确定，特斯拉涉足加密货币圈是不是一个好选择。” Mask asked Michael & nbsp; Saylor, Chief Executive Officer of the United States listed company MicroStrategy, on a social networking site, about the possibility of converting the “big deal” on Tesla's balance sheet to bitcoin and said, “The Bitcoin structure is perfect and, of course, there are some other currencies, but I am not quite sure that Tesla's involvement in the crypto-currency ring is a good option.” & nbsp; Michael Saylor则建议马斯克：“在过去几个月中我已经购买了超过13亿美元的比特币。面对今年前所未有的货币扩张，每一位CEO都面临着如何保持并提升股东价值的挑战。比特币是地球上每一个个人、投资者和企业进行价值存储的最佳解决方案。” Michael Saylor suggested to Mask: “I have purchased over $1.3 billion in bitcoins in the last few months. Faced with the unprecedented monetary expansion this year, every CEO faces the challenge of maintaining and enhancing shareholder value. Bitcoin is the best solution for every individual, investor, and enterprise on Earth to store value.” 两人的交流让加密货币圈兴奋不已，投资者纷纷猜测特斯拉可能会购买比特币。 The exchange between the two excites the encoded currency circle, and investors are speculating that Tesla might buy bitcoin. 数据显示，MicroStrategy自8月开始大笔购买比特币以来，目前拥有38250BTC(当前价值约6.1亿美元)，MicroStrategy已经成为大量持有比特币的机构之一。与此同时，公司的股票交易价格也出现了大幅增长。 The data show that MicroStrategy now owns 38,250 BTC (currently worth about $610 million) since August when it began to purchase large amounts of Bitcoins, and that MicroStrategy has become one of the largest institutions holding bitcoins. At the same time, the company’s stock exchange prices have increased significantly. 花旗银行喊出天价 就算比特币已经有如此惊人的涨幅，还有分析师预言比特币可能成为“2021年的特斯拉”，未来上涨空间高达数倍；也有分析师给出74000美元、10万美元的超高目标价；花旗银行给出的目标价甚至高达30万美元。 Even if Bitcoin had already seen such an alarming increase, there were analysts who predicted that bitcoin could be “Tesra in 2021”, and that there would be several times as much room for future rises; there were analysts who would give $74,000 and $100,000 in ultra-target prices; and Citibank would even give up to $300,000. 火币研究院高级分析师Daisy指出：“近日比特币的蓄势上涨，或有以下两个推动因素：一是英国疫情再起，加剧了全球经济衰退的预期，全球通货膨胀已经是不可阻挡的趋势。另外具有抗通胀属性的通缩资产本来就是稀缺的资源，因此比特币的需求进一步增大。二是对比特币合规化产品的进一步预期。灰度投资(Grayscale Investments)母公司 Digital Currency Group计划推出新的财富管理子公司，该财富管理子公司将加入灰度，后续或将更多的合规化产品推向市场。机构用户入场的态度显著，众多持牌投资机构纷纷成立数字货币基金或者向监管机构申请交易数字货币以及上市公司配置比特币资产，这些都是前所未有的。” “The recent surge in the position of bitcoin, according to Daisy, a senior analyst at the Gesellschaft, may be driven by two factors: the resurgence of the British epidemic, which has exacerbated expectations of a global recession, and global inflation, which is already an unstoppable trend. There are also deflationary assets with anti-inflation properties that are already scarce resources, thus increasing the demand for bitcoin. Second, there are further expectations of a comparable product. Grayscale investments (Grayscale Investments) parent companies & nbsp; Digital & nbsp; Currence& nbsp; Group plans to launch a new wealth management subsidiary, which will join the greyscale and subsequently or push more compliance products to the market. 但上述分析师也提示，单边上涨的行情并不是市场健康的表现，市场出现一定的回调反倒是行情健康的表现。 But the above analysts have also suggested that the unilateral rise is not a sign of market health, and that the market has a certain recalibration rather than a sign of health. OKEx Research首席研究员William也认为，本轮比特币牛市，可以说是高通胀预期下的产物。机构投资者在乎的是利润，而非“比特币信仰”或“区块链革命”这类情怀。在疫情得到逐渐缓解后，随着经济的逐渐复苏，货币政策也将逐渐由宽松转为适度紧缩。届时，机构投资者可能会抛售比特币。 As the epidemic subsides, monetary policy will gradually shift from easing to moderate austerity as the economy recovers. By that time, institutional investors may sell bitcoins. 古燕西指出，比特币近期面临的最大的风险依然是合规风险。预计在未来的几年中，美国的金融监管机构会继续加强对比特币交易活动和场所方面的监管措施，而这样的监管措施一定会影响比特币的价格。 Guyanxi points out that Bitcoin’s recent biggest risk remains compliance. It is expected that in the coming years, US financial regulators will continue to strengthen their regulatory measures with respect to Bitcoin trading activities and sites, which will affect the price of Bitcoin. & nbsp;
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