TechWeb 1月18日报道 文/小渔儿
TechWeb reports January 18th.
这个世界，最大的魅力莫过于存在各种未知，有时只是一个机会，便能实现从金字塔底端到塔尖的逆袭。而在这机会的背后，更多的是对人性以及身心素质的考验。
There is no more charisma in the world than the unknown, sometimes just an opportunity, to make a backlash from the bottom of the pyramid to the top of the pyramid. Behind that opportunity, it is more a test of humanity and physical and mental qualities.
互联网、房产热潮过后，以比特币为代表的虚拟货币成为2017年的代表之一。而在“爆红”之后，更是引无数投资者以及投机者入局，希望自己也能再一次被上天眷顾，短时间内实现逆袭。但是，事实恰恰相反，对于那些新入局者来说，不仅没有赶上低位买入的时机，更是在近两天感受到了过山车式的体验，全球大多数的数字虚拟加密货币都遭遇了价格大幅下跌。
After the Internet and the housing boom, the virtual currency, represented by Bitcoin, became one of the representatives in 2017. After the “breath of red”, many investors, as well as speculators, were drawn to the market, hoping that they would be taken care of once again and that they would be able to do so in a short period of time.
比特币价格持续下跌 24小时内最低已跌破1万美元
Bitcoin prices continue to fall, down by $10,000 in 24 hours.
近一年以来，以比特币为代表的虚拟货币吸引了无数人的目光，区块链技术的宣传加上比特币价格的大幅波动，让很多投资者入局，企图希望短时间内能够实现最大程度上的盈利。2017年12月份，经历了一段下跌低潮过后，比特币价格直冲两万美元，不到半年时间便帮助很多持币用户实现了财富自由，网上更是爆出很多关于“比特币找回，一夜暴富”的消息。
In recent years, the virtual currency, represented by bitcoin, has attracted the attention of countless people, and the promotion of block-chain technology, coupled with large fluctuations in bitcoin prices, has brought many investors into the game in the hope of maximizing profits in a short period of time. After a slump in December 2017, bitcoin prices hit by $20,000, helping many currency users to free their wealth in less than half a year.
人性天生是贪婪的，面对这样的“机会”，很多人都在当时的最高点忍不住下手入局。在他们看来，比特币还有更高的上涨空间，错过了房地产，不能再错过比特币。此前，有分析人士称，比特币的价格将会在2018年冲破10万美元的大关。笔者身边就有一位炒币者，在北京房价没有太大增长空间后，将多余的一套房子卖掉，买入比特币以及市面上比较受追捧的莱特币等虚拟货币，希望用着几百万的本钱，一年后增值至少两千万。
Human beings are born greedy, and in the face of such “opportunities”, many of them were forced into the game at the highest point at the time. In their view, Bitcoin had more room to rise, missed real estate, and couldn’t miss Bitcoin.
不同于国内的股市，虚拟货币上下浮动很大，炒币者必须要有个大心脏才行，既能承受得住2万美元的暴增，也能承受超过50%的暴跌。近几日，虚拟货币市场一片哀嚎声，全球大多数的数字虚拟加密货币都遭遇了价格大幅下跌。
Unlike domestic stock markets, where virtual currencies are very volatile, they must have a heart that can withstand both a $20,000 surge and a more than 50% drop. In recent days, virtual currency markets have wailed, and most digitally encrypted currencies around the globe have experienced a sharp fall in prices.
根据CoinMarketCap数据显示，截至18日凌晨，比特币价格约10132美元，在过去的24小时内跌幅达到13.18%，最低价格跌破9500美元。而在周二，比特币价格更是一度大跌25%，自去年12月初以来首次跌破11000美元关口。
According to CoinMarketCap data, by the early hours of 18th year, the price of Bitcoin was about $10132, falling by 13.18 per cent in the last 24 hours, with the lowest price falling by $9,500. On Tuesday, the price of Bitcoin fell by 25 per cent, and for the first time since early December, it fell by $11,000.
从最高点的两万美元，到现在的一万美元，一个月的时间里，如此大的跌幅让很多炒币者心灰意冷。笔者那位朋友目前的心态还挺好，认为比特币价格的下跌只是暂时的，是正常的表现，未来还会有更大的增长空间。值得注意的是，在比特币价格下跌的时机，很多人开始抄底，笔者的朋友也是如此。或许，在他们的信仰中，比特币的未来前景总是无限好的。
From the top 20,000 dollars, to the current $10,000, to the bottom of a month, such a large fall has left a lot of money-spillers heartbroken. My friend is still in a good mood, thinking that the fall in bitcoin prices is only temporary, a normal performance, and that there will be more room for growth in the future.
虚拟货币几乎无一幸免 难逃下跌大潮
Virtual currency is almost unscathed, and there's no escape from the tide.
作为数字虚拟货币中的灵魂，比特币就像是一颗大树，而其它虚拟货币就像是树上的枝桠。当大树受损的时候，枝桠也难免会被波及。近几日，不仅仅是比特币的价格下跌幅度较大，包括莱特币、以太币等虚拟货币也都是亮红灯，难逃下跌大潮。
As the soul of a digital virtual currency, Bitcoin is like a tree, while other virtual currencies are like branches on a tree. When trees are damaged, branches are affected. In recent days, not only bitcoin prices have fallen considerably, but virtual currencies, such as Leitco and Ether, have also been red-lighted and can't escape the tide.
根据CoinMarketCap数据显示，莱特币在过去24小时内下跌超过16%，18日凌晨价格大约为164.72美元，与去年12月375.29美元的历史最高价时相比，莱特币的跌幅超过了50%。而在2017年，莱特币则是经历了70多倍的暴涨。
According to CoinMarketCap data, Leytco has fallen by more than 16 per cent in the last 24 hours, at a price of approximately $164.72 in the early hours of 18 December, a decline of more than 50 per cent compared to the historic peak of $375.29 last December. In 2017, Leytco experienced a sharp increase of more than 70 times.
不仅仅是莱特币，数字货币以太币24小时之内也下跌17.39%，周二更是暴跌30%，价格也跌至1000美元一下，目前价格大约为889.69美元。
Not only is it Leiter, the digital currency also fell by 17.39 per cent within 24 hours, and Tuesday by 30 per cent, with prices falling to $1,000, at a current price of approximately $889.69.
回顾比特币暴跌史 炒币者需有颗大心脏
Looking back at the history of Bitcoin's collapse, a man with a big heart is needed.
2018年伊始比特币的下跌只是其诞生以来的一小部分插曲，在此之前，比特币更是有着多次较高幅度的上下波动。其中，2011年，比特币从0.3美元上涨至31.5美元，但是之后在一个半月的时间里便从31.5美元跌至4.77美元，下跌幅度达85%。并且，在当年6月份，全球最大比特币交易平台Mt.Gox受到黑客攻击，几分钟的时间，让比特币价格跌至0.013美元。
The decline in bitcoin at the beginning of 2018 was only a small part of the episode since its birth, before which bitcoin was subject to many higher fluctuations. In 2011, bitcoin rose from US$ 0.3 to US$ 31.5, but then fell from US$ 31.5 to US$ 4.77 in a month and a half, a drop of 85%. And, in June of that year, the world’s largest Bitcoin trading platform, Mt. Gox, was hit by hackers, and for a few minutes, the price of bitcoin fell to US$ 0.013.
2013年3月份，比特币价格从40美元飙升至92美元，一周过后，上涨至266美元。不过，随后不久，比特币价格便快速下跌，更是在一天之内跌幅超过61%，年中跌至70美元左右。
In March 2013, the price of Bitcoin surged from $40 to $92 and rose to $266 a week later. However, shortly thereafter, the price of Bitcoin fell rapidly, more than 61 per cent a day, falling to around $70 a year.
2013年比特币引起了更多玩家的注意，出现过100倍的暴涨。但是，在年底，比特币也经历了一次几乎毁灭性的暴跌。当年年底，中国相关监管部门印发《关于防范比特币风险的通知》，指出比特币不是货币，不应作为货币在市场上流通使用，各金融机构和支付机构不得以比特币为产品或服务定价。而就在该通知印发后，比特币在83天之内暴跌92.5%，几乎是毁灭性的打击。
But, at the end of the year, Bitcoin also experienced an almost devastating collapse. At the end of the year, China’s relevant regulatory authorities issued a Notice on Protection against Bitcoin Risk, which states that Bitcoin is not a currency, should not be used as a currency in the market, and that financial institutions and payment agencies cannot price Bitcoin for products or services.
此后，比特币还经历过几次暴跌。其中，2014年，比特币价格从867美元跌至439美元，跌幅近50%；2017年9月，由于国内监管方面的原因，比特币价格下跌37%。
Bitcoin has also experienced several drops since then. Among these, the price of bitcoin fell from $867 to $439 in 2014, a drop of almost 50 per cent; in September 2017, for domestic regulatory reasons, the price of bitcoin fell by 37 per cent.
从比特币的暴跌史来看，这一次的下跌虽然幅度较大，但还算是比较“温和”。不过，炒币者还是需要有一颗大心脏才行。
In the history of Bitcoin's collapse, this fall, though large, is still relatively “moderate.” But, it takes a big heart to make money.
国内外市场监管趋严 比特币未来前景并不明朗
The future of Bitcoin is uncertain.
这一次和2017年9月份比特币价格的下跌都与国内外市场监管趋严有关。日前，中国互金协会对外发布《关于防范变相代币发行融资（ICO）活动的风险提示》称，以IMO模式发行的“虚拟数字资产”，包括链克、流量币、BFC积分等，本质上是一种融资行为，是变相ICO。广大消费者和投资者应认清相关模式的本质，增强风险防范意识，理性投资，不要盲目跟风炒作。
Both this time and the fall in Bitcoin’s prices in September 2017 were linked to tighter regulation of domestic and foreign markets. The Chinese Mutual Gold Association recently published a Risk Alert for Activities to Protect Against the Financing of Alternative Currency (ICO), which states that “virtual digital assets” issued in the IMO model, including chain grams, currency flow, BFC points, etc., are essentially a financing act and a disguised ICO.
去年9月份，中国人民银行等7部委联合发布的《关于防范代币发行融资风险的公告》中明确指出，ICO行为涉嫌非法集资、非法发行证券以及非法发售代币票券等违法犯罪活动，任何组织和个人应立即停止从事ICO。
In September of last year, the People's Bank of China and seven other ministries issued a joint communiqué on the prevention of the risk of financing the issuance of money in exchange, stating that the ICO was suspected of illegal criminal activities such as the collection of funds, the illegal issuance of securities and the illegal sale of coupons, and that any organization or individual should immediately cease to engage in the ICO.
在监管趋严的环境下，日前中牛网、贵比特平台等相继宣布暂停交易，并陆续下架所有币种。而在去年相关公告发布后，微比特以及比特币中国等平台也都宣布停止用户注册，关闭交易平台。
In a highly regulated environment, the former Bullnet, the Guibit platform, etc., has announced successively a moratorium on transactions, and successively set aside all currencies. After last year’s announcement, platforms like Microbitt and Bitcoin China have announced that they will stop their users’ registrations and shut down their trading platforms.
除了中国之外，韩国政府由于担心比特币出现泡沫，从而导致国家和人民财产受到损失，近段时间来在严加打击比特币交易。此前，还有消息称，韩国政府将制定政策，禁止本国的虚拟货币交易平台运营。不过，韩国政府事后辟谣，称会听取各方面的意见，再做出后续的决定。而这背后，也与众多持币者的反抗有关。据悉，目前韩国大约有200万人购买了比特币，囊括了从家庭主妇到大学生等群体。
In addition to China, the South Korean government, fearing a bubble in bitcoin, has caused damage to the country’s and people’s property. Prior to that, there have been reports that it will develop policies to prohibit the operation of its virtual currency trading platform.
另外，包括澳大利亚、乌克兰等国家也都对比特币等相关虚拟货币加强了监管。可以肯定的是，在政府的监管下，虚拟货币依旧会出现比较大的变动，未来的前景并不是很明朗。
In addition, countries like Australia, Ukraine, etc., have strengthened their regulation of virtual currencies, such as bitcoin. It is certain that, under government supervision, virtual currencies are still subject to relatively large changes, and prospects for the future are not very clear.
其实，除了政府监管的原因之外，比特币之所以会出现如此之大的变动，还与其设计的底层架构和运行机制有关。毕竟，现在的入局者越来越多，交易需求和数量也在不断的增多。
Indeed, in addition to the reasons for government regulation, Bitcoin’s changes of this magnitude are related to its design of the bottom structure and operating mechanisms. After all, there are now more and more entrants, as well as increasing demand for and volume of transactions.
一次赌徒，一世赌徒。对于持币者来说，一颗大心脏是炒币的前提。此外，虽说富贵在天生死有命，但是在投资的世界里，如何学会全身而退保全自己才是最重要的。
A gambler, a gambler. A big heart is a prerequisite for a coin-bearer. And, while wealth can live and die, in an investment world, it is all the more important to learn how to keep yourself safe.
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